Description: Book review of: Social Science from the Bottom Up, by Joshua M. Epstein and Robert Axtell

Description: December 2013 issue of Forecasting & Futurism newsletter

Description: Many Americans will need long term care in future years, yet only 10 percent of those 50 and over have LTC insurance, and public programs are not funded to provide care for all who need it. The Long Term Care Section and the Forecasting and Futurism Section have co-sponsored a Delphi study, code named “Land This Plane,” with a lofty objective: to create a vision for how America ought to deal with the impending Long Term Care crisis. This article describes the results of the study that were available at the time this article was written.

Description: A discussion of what to do in the face of unprecedented change. With so many negative indicators of the economic future, suggestions are made for individual actions.

Description: The author discusses expectations for incoming actuarial science students, emphasizing that a solid grasp of algebra and traditional mathematical skills is not enough. In addition, the author states that today’s business environment dictates that students be well versed and that their backgrounds include familiarity with complexity science.

Description: The author explains how he used judgmental forecasting techniques to develop a dynamic lapse assumption. He defines the techniques and provides readers with a step-by-step process.

Description: The main focus of this article revolves around pension plans and their funding levels.

Description: A good primer on how clinical studies should be conducted and how statistics are used and misused to influence us.