Description: Presented at Living to 100 symposium, January 2002. This is a report of a study in which the Cox proportional hazard model, a widely used survival analysis tool, was applied to profiling the mortality of an insured advanced-age population. The data was derived from 14 US insurers. This data represents policies issued between 01/01/1997 and 12/31/2000 to policyholders of age 60 or older. The major study results include measures of mortality, variations by selected risk factors, estimated mortality experience of the underlying population, and a comparison of mortality experience estimated by direct calculation, the Society of Actuaries’ SOA 1990-95 mortality study, and our extended Cox modeling technique.

Description: This paper builds a model that quantifies the natural hedging benefits of a portfolio of both variable annuities and equity indexed annuities. The model is based on risk-neutral option pricing theory and risk-adjusted performance measure, RAPM. Through a double-tier simulation framework, an optimum product mixture of those two contracts is achieved that provides the best RAPM and therefore deploys capital the most efficiently. From 2006 Enterprise Risk Management Symposium, M-AS06-1.

Description: This paper identifies some of the special ERM considerations that a corporation which has employees who are members of a multi-employer pension plan, MEPP, should include in its ERM program. The focus of the paper is on the MEPP as an entity and tools to be used in its ERM. From 2006 Enterprise Risk Management Symposium, M-AS06-1.

Description: This paper proposes a general definition for economic capital, EC, that can be applied to various types of insurance products in a consistent manner. The paper also illustrates how to calculate risk-adjusted performance measurement, RAPM, by using a fair value framework. From 2006 Enterprise Risk Management Symposium, M-AS06-1.

Description: This paper suggests that risk is too complex to quantify with a single number, and offers a two-dimensional risk measure while introducing the concept of 'iso-risk' curves. From 2006 Enterprise Risk Management Symposium, M-AS06-1.

Description: Transcript of the Q&A period from session 3B. Session focused on Women's longevity issues and Chronic Disability Measurement and cost.

Description: Paper estimates the burden of chronic disability on the U.S. elderly population, using sex-specific measures of long-term care LTC service use, intensity and costs.

Description: This paper presents an advanced approach to enterprise risk management that, according to the author, significantly improves upon current approaches. The two fundamental elements are a focus on the management of strategic plans and a heavy reliance upon probability theory.

Description: This is Table 2 from a March 2011 presentation at the 2011 Enterprise Risk Management Symposium entitled Capital Allocation in the Property-Liability Insurance Industry.

Description: 2011 Enterprise Risk Management Symposium, Chicago. This is the abstract of the entitled paper.