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Health Actuaries and the Short-term Prediction Problem
Health Actuaries and the Short-term Prediction Problem This article discusses challenges that short-term predictions have on actuaries' reputations, both as individuals and as a profession, ...- Date: May 2012
- Competency: Communication>Oral communication; Communication>Written communication; External Forces & Industry Knowledge>General business skills; Leadership>Influence; Professional Values>Practice expertise; Relationship Management>Relationships and trust; Strategic Insight and Integration>Influence decisions; Strategic Insight and Integration>Management partnership
- Publication Name: Health Watch
- Topics: Actuarial Profession>Best practices; Actuarial Profession>Standards of practice; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Sensitivity testing
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F&F 2 nd Annual iPad 2 Forecasting Competition
F&F 2 nd Annual iPad 2 Forecasting Competition Provides details of the 2nd forecasting competition for the best model that predicts the Civilian Unemployment Rate 'UNRATE', ...- Authors: Benjamin Steward Wadsley
- Date: Jan 2012
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Delphi Studies Past, Present and Future
Delphi Studies Past, Present and Future This article is about research studies that use the Delphi technique. It describes what a Delphi study is and gives a thumbnail sketch of two Delphi ...- Authors: Ben Wolzenski
- Date: Jan 2012
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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December 2016 edition of Predictive Analytics & Futurism
December 2016 edition of Predictive Analytics & Futurism December 2016 edition of Predictive Analytics & Futurism Predictive Modeling;Futurism 6442473928 12/1/2016 12:00:00 AM ...- Authors: Society of Actuaries
- Date: Dec 2016
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Back to The Futurism
Back to The Futurism A discussion of the process and results report “A Study of the Use of the Delphi Method, A Futures Research Technique for Forecasting Selected U.S. Economic Variables and ...- Authors: Steven Easson
- Date: Feb 2009
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: The Actuary Magazine
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Book Review: Complexity: A Guided Tour by Melanie Mitchell, Ph.D.
Book Review: Complexity: A Guided Tour by Melanie Mitchell, Ph.D. In Complexity: A Guided Tour, readers are given a short history lesson on the roots of dynamical systems theory, chaos and ...- Authors: David Snell
- Date: Jul 2010
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Artificial Intelligence: What Is It and How Can I Use It?
Artificial Intelligence: What Is It and How Can I Use It? The author discusses the field of artificial intelligence, as well as some of the key definitions along with some possible applications.- Authors: Brian Grossmiller
- Date: Jul 2012
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial theory in business context
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Society Of Actuaries Annual Meeting Features Social Insurance Modeling Mini-Seminar
Society Of Actuaries Annual Meeting Features Social Insurance Modeling Mini-Seminar Information about a social insurance modeling mini-seminar at the SOA’s 2010 Annual Meeting Demographics; 9591 ...- Authors: Sam Gutterman
- Date: Jul 2010
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
- Publication Name: In The Public Interest
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Social Insurance
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Getting Started with Deep Learning and TensorFlow
Getting Started with Deep Learning and TensorFlow A description of how to use Deep Learning and TensorFlow Futurism;Predictive Modeling 6442473933 12/1/2016 12:00:00 AM ...- Authors: Jeff T Heaton
- Date: Dec 2016
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Understanding Autoregressive Model for Time Series
Understanding Autoregressive Model for Time Series In this article, we are going to discuss the AR model by making connections to time-dependent ordinary differential equations. Time series; ...- Authors: Dihui Lai, Bingfeng Lu
- Date: Jun 2017
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Deterministic models; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Predictive Analytics