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From the Editor
From the Editor Summary of all issue articles, with theme of recognizing limits of classical actuarial methods. ;; Regression analysis; Risk modeling; Statistical methods 4294992059 07/01/2012 ...- Authors: David Snell
- Date: Jul 2012
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial theory in business context
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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July 2013 issue of Forecasting & Futurism
July 2013 issue of Forecasting & Futurism The July 2013 issue of the SOA’s Forecasting & Futurism section’s newsletter, Forecasting & Futurism. Financial management;Modeling ...- Authors: Society of Actuaries
- Date: Jul 2013
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail - But Some Don't
The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail - But Some Don't A book review by Scott McInturff of The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail - But Some Don't ...- Date: Jul 2013
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods
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Modeling with Python & Sicikit-Learn
Modeling with Python & Sicikit-Learn Python & Scikit-Learn are a powerful combination for predictive modeling. Using Scikit-Learn you gain access to a variety of models, such as ...- Authors: Jeff T Heaton
- Date: Dec 2014
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
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A Nearest Neighbor Approach to Risk Adjustment
A Nearest Neighbor Approach to Risk Adjustment This article explores a potential alternative to the more typical regression-based specification of risk adjustment models. We demonstrate a proof ...- Authors: Geoffrey Hileman
- Date: Dec 2014
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
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Parables and Prophecies Prevent Predictive Prowess
Parables and Prophecies Prevent Predictive Prowess Parables and Prophecies Prevent Predictive Prowess 6442459656 12/01/2014 06:00:00 ...- Authors: Douglas Norris
- Date: Dec 2014
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
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Genetic Algorithms
Genetic Algorithms 6442452455 01/01/2014 06:00:00 ...- Date: Jan 2014
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
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Roughly Right
Roughly Right Discusses the factors one should take into account when considering the appropriate level of precision for a task or a subsequent communication. 6442456948 07/01/2014 05:00:00 ...- Authors: Geoffrey Hileman
- Date: Jul 2014
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
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How do YOU Forecast?
How do YOU Forecast? An introduction to the Forecasting & Futurism section's 2014 contest, where participants are encouraged to explore a forecasting application and develop it. The ...- Authors: Douglas Norris
- Date: Jul 2014
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
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“One of the Best Kept Secrets of the SOA”
“One of the Best Kept Secrets of the SOA” Description of the vast variety of predictive analytics topics covered by the Forecasting & Futurism section and introduction to the July 2015 issue ...- Authors: David Snell
- Date: Jul 2015
- Competency: Communication>Persuasive communication; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Economics>Behavioral economics; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Data mining; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Regression analysis