Description: The Study was designed to elicit reasons behind the participants’ judgments about the future course of the four variables. In the first round participants were asked to provide judgments about the value of the four variables in 2024 and the reasons behind their judgments. The four variables were 1. Increase in CPI, 2. 10 Year Treasury Yield, 3. S&P500 Total Rate of Return, and 4.Corporate Baa yield. In addition, they were asked to list future developments that could cause historical trends in the variables to change. Finally they were asked to express their views on how the judgmental process employed in this study might influence the use and interpretation of traditional actuarial e.g., stochastic, deterministic estimation processes or to aid in planning. The data were collated between rounds and in the second Round, the responses of the group were provided to the participants.

Description: Canadian Institute of Actuaries (CIA) and Casualty Actuarial Society (CAS), has annually conducted a Survey of Emerging Risks. As the researcher for this project, I have asked open-ended questions thought to be useful to risk managers. In this article, I will summarize one of those questions from the 2015 and 2016 surveys and provide some perspectives for Canadian actuaries: Are there lessons learned that you would like to share with risk managers developing an enterprise risk management (ERM) framework (e.g., what worked, what did not)?

Description: Fifth edition on the current state and future opportunity of the retirement market and how perceptions and concerns about retirement differ by province in China.

Description: The purpose of the latest in this series, the 2005 Risks and Process of Retirement Survey, is to evaluate Americans’ awareness of such risks, how their awareness has changed since 2003, and how it affects the way they manage their finances. This report focuses on attitudes toward longevity specifically in the context of planning for and managing the financial risk of outliving assets in retirement, and relates the public’s understanding of these issues to other studies. Three other reports cover in greater depth the process of retirement, other post-retirement risks, and retirement issues of special concern to women. The 2001, 2003 and 2005 studies separately analyzed current retirees and those not yet retired, referred to in these reports as ‘pre-retirees.’

Description: Research report describing the results of an Emerging Risks Survey conducted in November 2008. Emerging risks can be thought of from two perspectives: completely new risks that have never been seen before, and risks that are evolving in unexpected ways.

Description: This is an excel spreadsheet with some data pertaining to an article of the same name from the Product Development News

Description: This report aims to expand our understanding by providing a methodology to quantify uncertainty in risk assessment.

Description: This project shows how to use agent-based models to simulate the behaviors of agents in complex health systems.

Description: This project shows how to use agent-based models to simulate the behaviors of agents in complex health systems.

Description: This spreadsheet sets out a framework to evaluate the value and effectiveness of a defined contribution arrangement.