Description: Discusses the factors one should take into account when considering the appropriate level of precision for a task or a subsequent communication.

Description: An introduction to the Forecasting & Futurism section's 2014 contest, where participants are encouraged to explore a forecasting application and develop it. The article discusses the contest, the scoring, and the prize.

Description: Description of the vast variety of predictive analytics topics covered by the Forecasting & Futurism section and introduction to the July 2015 issue of the newsletter.

Description: Chairperson's column for the July 2016 issue of Predictive Analytics & Futurism.

Description: Using the Cox proportional Hazards Model to improve underwriting debits and credits.

Description: The editor of the newsletter provides a running list of articles included in the issue highlighting such topics as the applicability genetic algorithms, the power of group dynamics, judgmental forecasting, improvement in mortality and complexity science.

Description: Provides details of the 2nd forecasting competition for the best model that predicts the Civilian Unemployment Rate 'UNRATE', measured on a monthly basis, from March-end 2012 through September-end 2012.

Description: This article is about research studies that use the Delphi technique. It describes what a Delphi study is and gives a thumbnail sketch of two Delphi studies the Society of Actuaries has sponsored in the past 10 years, as well as a recently initiated Delphi study.

Description: This article discusses steps to follow to ensure a more rational and productive approach to data analysis.

Description: Spreadsheets have become ubiquitous in business and forecasting. However, they do not usually have the same level of control that any other complex program would require. As a result, we often get erroneous results which can have far reaching, negative consequences.