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  • Insights from a Dead Salmon

    Insights from a Dead Salmon Actuaries provide special subject matter expertise to question (or validate) the results of data analytics models. Other quants often cannot do this. Bayesian methods; ...

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    • Authors: David Snell, Kevin Jones
    • Date: Dec 2016
    • Competency: Professional Values>Ethical standards; Strategic Insight and Integration>Effective decision-making
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Actuarial Profession; Predictive Analytics

  • Blinded by Predictive Analytics

    Blinded by Predictive Analytics It is about using actuarial judgement to validate the predictive model. Predictive modeling;Model validation;thick data 6442480123 12/1/2017 12:00:00 AM ...

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    • Authors: Bryon Robidoux
    • Date: Dec 2017
    • Competency: Strategic Insight and Integration>Effective decision-making
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Predictive Analytics

  • Chairperson's Corner

    Chairperson's Corner Describes goals of the section for the coming year. Predictive Analytics;Futurism;Predictive modeling;Credibility theory 6442485542 12/1/2018 12:00:00 AM ...

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    • Authors: Eileen Burns
    • Date: Dec 2018
    • Competency: Leadership>Thought leadership
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Predictive Analytics

  • A Math Test For Models

    A Math Test For Models Evaluates the ability of various model types to automatically approximate various mathematical formulas. This can be used as a guide for feature engineering. Predictive ...

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    • Authors: Jeff T Heaton
    • Date: Dec 2018
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Predictive Analytics

  • 2005 Delphi Study - Reflections 10 Years Later

    2005 Delphi Study - Reflections 10 Years Later Reflections on SOA delphi study released Oct 2005 Futurism 6442465259 12/1/2015 12:00:00 AM ...

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    • Authors: Steven Easson
    • Date: Dec 2015
    • Competency: Strategic Insight and Integration>Effective decision-making
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Predictive Analytics

  • Society of Actuaries Trend Topic: How Predictive Analytics Can Bolster Organizational Expertise

    Society of Actuaries Trend Topic: How Predictive Analytics Can Bolster Organizational Expertise Discussion about the need for, and approach to, measuring organizational expertise ton ensure the ...

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    • Authors: Stephen Fredlund
    • Date: Dec 2017
    • Competency: Strategic Insight and Integration>Effective decision-making
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Predictive Analytics

  • The Forgery Game: Generative Adversarial Networks

    The Forgery Game: Generative Adversarial Networks A concise overview of Generative Adversarial Networks. 6442481992 4/1/2018 12:00:00 AM ...

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    • Authors: Michael Niemerg
    • Date: Apr 2018
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Predictive Analytics

  • Big Data or Infinite Data?

    Big Data or Infinite Data? History of Big Data, and approaches to cope with it. The author suggests that actuaries have been using similar methods for a long time; but need to get up to speed on ...

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    • Authors: David Snell
    • Date: Dec 2015
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Predictive Analytics

  • Predictive Modeling Techniques—A Case Study

    Predictive Modeling Techniques—A Case Study A discussion on using the Cox Proportional Hazards Model in developing a predictive underwriting model that produces a mortality multiplier for each ...

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    • Authors: Vincent Granieri
    • Date: Jun 2017
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Predictive Analytics

  • Variable Selection in Predictive Modeling: Does it Really Matter

    Variable Selection in Predictive Modeling: Does it Really Matter A discussion about how many models can address the over fitting issues caused by too many variables by regularization, variable ...

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    • Authors: Kailan Shang
    • Date: Jun 2017
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Predictive Analytics
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