Description: Chairperson’ column the events of the Investment Section’s annual meeting.

Description: Feature article discussing whether or not genetic algorithms can be used by actuaries.

Description: The purpose of the article is to highlight how a person or organization can excel in both a highly-competitive expert-driven environment and one where the environment is less so. One should focus on what can be done well and delegate the remaining tasks to those who are better at performing them. One should understand the environment they are operating in, how it impacts them, and how it may change through time. The principles have application to investment management, investment performance, organizational performance, business development, career progression and economics.

Description: The selection of a discount rate is one of the most important assumptions for the calculations of present values. The paper presents the basic properties of the key measurements of investment returns and the discount rates associated with these measurements.

Description: Provides an example of using numerical methods to estimate the credit risk spread curve from sparse historical data. Applies Baysian and Normal models. Uses Gibbs sampling and Rejection sampling methods for multivariate estimates. Critically evaluates these techniques.

Description: Recaps the content of leading presentations at 2016 Inv Symposium. Topics include bond liquidity, investment outlook, low rate portfolio strategies

Description: Reviews basic desirable features in an economic scenario generator. Discusses basics of model structure and validation process

Description: This article explores the effectiveness of hedging delta and rho of equity options. This provides insight into the frequency and severity of losses due to not hedging volatility risk or other higher order risks. 10yr-equity put option strategies were chosen to represent the risk of hedging guaranteed benefits attached to variable annuities, while 1-yr put and call strategies were modeled to investigate the risk of hedging equity index interest credited to fixed indexed annuities. In both cases, the value of the option was compared to the value of delta/rho hedges in the tail of both actual historical and simulated scenarios for equity returns and volatilities. The historical path of interest rates and equities was generally used to highlight the hedge impact for different implied volatility assumptions in each example.

Description: Proposes alternatives for estimating the long term interest returns in Indexed Universal Life products. Defends expected return of 20%-45% on hedge budgets.