Description: Property-casualty insurance companies tend to focus on avoiding and controlling their exposure to reinsurance credit risk. This paper advocates switching from this risk avoidance and compliance mentality to a probabilistic and market-based view in which one seeks to measure, hedge, exploit and optimize risk. Presented at 2010 Enterprise Risk Management Symposium, Society of Actuaries, April 12-15, 2010.

Description: Within this paper, we take an applied approach to examine the economics of ERM. We provide readers with a series of economically based warning signs that might signify significant changes in asset prices. These warning signs are based on the economic concepts of elasticity of demand, elasticity of supply and herd behavior. Our recommendations provide practical guidance to directors, executives and practitioners regarding ways in which they can mitigate risks in today’s volatile environment. Presented at 2010 Enterprise Risk Management Symposium, Society of Actuaries, April 12-15, 2010.

Description: The bank’s customers viz. non-bank company often get into various kinds of derivative transactions with a bank or some other non-bank company in order to cover or hedge against the unwanted exposure to volatility in interest rates, currency rates or some other underlying rate. A non-bank company defaults when the situation goes unfavorable enough for it to have no other alternative this cascades the impact to many other non-bank companies and banks. I take forward the opinion that non-bank company defaults are more likely than those by a bank in a derivative contract. This risk in the risk management approach using derivatives can be reduced through the derivatives framework proposed in this paper. Presented at 2010 Enterprise Risk Management Symposium, Society of Actuaries, April 12-15, 2010.

Description: This paper compares the development of the more flexible reporting for pension commitments by the sponsoring employer in Australia to the standard-driven reporting in the United States and the United Kingdom. From Current Pension Actuarial Practice in Light of Financial Economics Symposium, M-RS04-1.

Description: This paper considers the pension plan as part of the capital structure of the sponsoring employer, enabling lessons from financial theory concerning capital structure to be used to answer the questions about what assets a pension fund should hold. From Current Pension Actuarial Practice in Light of Financial Economics Symposium, M-RS04-1.

Description: This paper examines some new Bayesian models for loss reserving inspired by a consideration of some of the methods and techniques appearing in the traditional chain ladder literature. This includes a possibly order restricted hierarchical Bayesian model for the year over year development factors. The issues of reserve variability and ranges of reasonable reserve estimates are considered. A new Bornhuetter-Ferguson styled Bayesian method of estimate revision is also discussed. These Bayesian models can be implemented using Markov chain Monte Carlo MCMC methods in a variety of programming languages, and can serve as starting points for more advanced models. This paper describes their implementation in WinBUGS a specialized software program for MCMC simulations. Illustrative WinBUGS code is included.

Description: This article sees enterprise risk management as a specific application of knowledge in Order to control deviations from strategic objectives, shareholders’ values and stakeholders’ relationships. Before and after a modeling process it is necessary to find insights into how the application of knowledge management processes can improve the understanding of risk and the implementation of enterprise risk management. The article presents a proposed methodology to contribute to providing a guide for developing risk modeling knowledge and a reduction of knowledge silos, in order to improve the quality and quantity of solutions related to risk inquiries across the organization.

Description: In this note, the asymptotic behavior of the probability of ruin is derived by means of infinitesimal generators and Laplace transforms. Using these same tools, it is shown that the probability of ruin has an algebraic decay rate if the insurance company invests its capital in a risky asset with a price which follows a geometric Brownian motion. The latter result is shown to be valid not only for exponentially distributed claim amounts, as in Frolova et al. 2002, but, more generally, for any claim amount distribution that has a moment generating function defined in a neighborhood of the origin.

Description: This paper sets out to demonstrate that the economic capital, risk drivers, and business model are intricately integrated, and that this has broad implications on enterprise risk management for financial institutions. From 2007 Enterprise Risk Management Symposium, M-AS07-1.

Description: As an alternative to the widely-used 'return on economic capital' RAROC, this paper proposes a performance measure consistent with standard valuation models, and discusses its implications for prudential regulation. From 2007 Enterprise Risk Management Symposium, M-AS07-1.