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  • Delphi Studies Past, Present and Future

    Delphi Studies Past, Present and Future This article is about research studies that use the Delphi technique. It describes what a Delphi study is and gives a thumbnail sketch of two Delphi ...

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    • Authors: Ben Wolzenski
    • Date: Jan 2012
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • The Actuarial Profession and Complex Models: Knowing the Limits of Our Knowledge

    The Actuarial Profession and Complex Models: Knowing the Limits of Our Knowledge This article discusses steps to follow to ensure a more rational and productive approach to data analysis.

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    • Authors: Kurt Wrobel
    • Date: Jul 2012
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • Are spreadsheets sabotaging your accuracy

    Are spreadsheets sabotaging your accuracy Spreadsheets have become ubiquitous in business and forecasting. However, they do not usually have the same level of control that any other complex ...

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    • Date: Dec 2013
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Enterprise Risk Management>Strategic risks; Enterprise Risk Management>Systematic risk; Enterprise Risk Management>Systemic risk
  • Dark Side Of The Moon

    Dark Side Of The Moon Feature article discussing the difficult situation of actuarial forecasting with little or no date. Financial management;Modeling efficiency;Predictive modeling 4294999280 ...

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    • Authors: Clark Ramsey
    • Date: Jul 2013
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • I held a human brain!

    I held a human brain! Alternative sources of learning available for free or at low cost if you wish to round out your F&F education about machine learning, artificial neural networks, ...

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    • Authors: David Snell
    • Date: Jul 2013
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Actuarial Profession>Professional development
  • Warm and Fuzzy...and Real! - Part 2

    Warm and Fuzzy...and Real! - Part 2 Continuation of a tutorial on Fuzzy (vs. Boolean, or 'crisp') logic and how you can use it to create actuarial models that better fit the real world.

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    • Authors: David Snell
    • Date: Dec 2014
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
  • Fuzzy Logic in R

    Fuzzy Logic in R Fuzzy logic is form of multi-valued logic that allows the creation of fuzzy rules. This article introduces the "sets" package for the R programming language for ...

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    • Authors: Jeff T Heaton
    • Date: Jul 2014
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
  • If More Precision is Always the Answer, Have We Forgotten the Question?

    If More Precision is Always the Answer, Have We Forgotten the Question? Summary of the issue, with emphasis on common sense and accuracy rather than blind precision. Also describes two ...

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    • Authors: David Snell
    • Date: Jul 2014
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
  • A Conversation About the Delphi Study on Long-Term Care Financing Solutions

    A Conversation About the Delphi Study on Long-Term Care Financing Solutions A Delphi Research Study of Long-Term Care Financing Solutions." Two members of the Project Oversight Group discuss ...

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    • Authors: Ben Wolzenski, Ronald R Hagelman
    • Date: Jul 2014
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
  • Big Data In Life Insurance—Does It Exist? If So, How Should We Handle It?

    Big Data In Life Insurance—Does It Exist? If So, How Should We Handle It? Unstructured data is often synonymous with Big Data; and the term is used and misused a lot. Richard Xu and his ...

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    • Authors: Gang Richard Xu, Dihui Lai
    • Date: Jul 2014
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
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