Description: The 2009 Estonia experience study includes both mortality and persistency studies of policies in force any time during the 2006-2008 study period. The study applies to the entire portfolios of the contributing companies and these companies represent the vast majority of the Estonia individual life insurance market. Separate studies were performed based upon policy counts and insurance in force. Actual mortality was compared to expected mortality based upon the SOA 1975-80 select and ultimate mortality table.

Description: Research report describing an analysis of experience transition rates between Long Term Care insurance claim settings over the course of a claim. Examples of such transitions are from an assisted care facility to home health care or from home health care to a nursing home.

Description: Have you ever struggled to make business decisions because your internal mortality studies lack credibility? Have you ever launched a new product or initiative and wanted to understand mortality risk before claims experience emerged? This session will discuss how predictive models can help actuaries enhance their traditional mortality studies with leading mortality leading indicators to be more nimble to market demands.

Description: One common barrier to employing GLM modeling is the lack of sufficient data. This limitation often comes from the combination of the considerations in ASOP No. 25 “Credibility Procedures” and the fact that GLMs assign full credibility to the data. Explore the possibilities of credibility-based regression by expanding the intended purpose of modeling analysis from producing a single model as output to producing data insights, credible differences, and a range of reasonable models.

Description: CMS has required hospitals to publish their chargemaster rates, cash discounts and negotiated rates as of January 1, 2021. Our panel is comprised of a data strategist, an executive from a large hospital system and an actuary.

Description: Milliman was engaged by the SOA to conduct two Accelerated Underwriting (AU) surveys, one of direct companies and another of reinsurers. The surveys explored actual results from 2019–2021 and expected results from 2022.

Description: Description of methods for extracting and reformatting the existing mortality tables using R. Methods and formats for storage are discussed in the second article. Intent is to generate discussion regarding the format of our stored mortality tables. Value is in the demonstration of task automation in R and in the reduction of duplicate work across companies related to reformatting tables.

Description: Update on the SOA International experience study. The SOA has developed a new “tool” using Microsoft Access/Excel for international actuaries to conduct mortality and persistency studies in conjunction with the SOA’s international experience study initiative.

Description: The Society of Actuaries Individual Disability Experience Committee has completed their study of incidence experience for the period 2006-2014 comparing trends to the 2013 IDI Valuation Table (2013 IDIVT) base incidence rates. Included is the report and pivot table.