Description: Tables used for the Underlying and Multiple Cause Mortality at Advanced Ages: United States 1980-1998 paper.

Description: A comment letter to policymakers produced jointly by the SOA and AAA presents findings from their actuarial analysis of the proposed CLASS Act. The analysis indicates that the proposed structure and funding approaches will be unsustainable, and will cover only a very small proportion of the intended population. The opt-out and guaranteed issue provisions of the plan pose a risk that soon the program will either need increased premiums and/or significant reductions.

Description: This paper generalizes the life table to include the effects of observed and unobserved tine-varying health-related covariates using a longitudinal form of the Grade of Membership model to specify and estimate a multivariate model of the trajectories of disability and mortality among elderly respondents to the NLTCS of 1984, 1989, 1994, and 1999. From 2005 Living to 100 and Beyond Monograph, M-LI05-1.

Description: Paper estimates the burden of chronic disability on the U.S. elderly population, using sex-specific measures of long-term care LTC service use, intensity and costs.

Description: This report estimates sex-specific trends in HIPAA ADL disability between 1984 and 2004 using the National Long Term Care Survey (NLTCS); estimates age-standardized 20-year changes in ADL and cognitive impairment (CI) among the U.S. elderly using the HIPAA CI trigger; estimates the joint distribution of cognitive impairment (CI) and ADL disability among aged Medicare enrollees using the HIPAA disability triggers.

Description: A study of disability experience examines cost burden and degree of disability, and how these measures vary across different subpopulations. This article summarizes a presentation given at the Society of Actuaries’ Living to 100: Survival to Advanced Ages International Symposium held on Jan. 7–9, 2008 in Orlando, Florida. An abstract of the author's paper was presented in the September 2008 issue of Long-Term Care News.

Description: Table constructed from lifetime long-term care cost studies conducted by P.J. Eric Stallard, ASA, FCA, MAAA, Center for Demographic Studies, Duke University.

Description: This report revises, extends, and reformats the non-insured home and community based long term care incidence and continuance tables in the 1995 LTC Task Force Report using more extensive and more recent data from the 1984 and 1989 National Long-Term Care Surveys.

Description: This report is to estimate the burden of chronic disability on the U.S. elderly population, using unisex and sex-specific measures of long-term care service use, intensity and costs. It discusses disability prevalence, incidence, duration, and long-term care intensity and cost.

Description: The abstract for the paper Trajectories of Disability and Mortality Among the U.S. Elderly Population: Evidence from the 1984-1999 NLTCS.