Description: How well can we predict ACA HHS Risk Adjustment Data Validation (HRADV) results? Put another way, how susceptible is the current HRADV process to small sample volatility? What potential remedies are there to the current model's shortcomings? Every plan, regardless of how many members they have above the 1000 minimum, count equally if they qualify for an HRADV with how the result is interpreted, and the subsequent HRADV risk transfer ($330M in 2023).

Description: With the unprecedented proliferation in the size and complexity of data over the past decade, actuaries have invested considerable time and energy in the development of new skills and expertise in order to be able to understand and use “big data” to its fullest potential in the development of actuarial work product.

Description: This session will explore governance considerations for insurance carriers leveraging machine learning models. During the session, panelists will share insights on the evolving predictive model and AI regulatory landscape, as well as techniques for developing or enhancing AI governance frameworks that comply with emerging regulatory guidance.

Description: Actuaries historically modeled new launches in pharmaceuticals by anticipating the expected change to the market basket. This became more complicated with the recent launches of gene and cell therapies as they address rare diseases. Rare conditions have low total member volume to study and some do not currently have a diagnosis code to identify them within claims data. Addressing this modeling challenge has been growing more important in the recent years with the number of therapies launching. What has the health care industry, and more specifically health care, done to enhance modeling and how should this be altered for the future? Additionally, historic modeling has sometimes incorporated a level of direct medical treatment cost offsets where studies have shown lower treatment costs are achievable. Can gene and cell financial modeling include cost offsets as well? And if so, what are suggested precautions or limitations to this effort?

Description: Enjoy an in-depth walkthrough of the facets of the lab testing world in this webcast. The agenda will include a discussion on genetic testing, which focuses on its general background, current trends and tests in the pipeline, as well as a focus on the approaches to achieve savings in lab testing. Finally, expect to check out sample actuarial analyses that will be used to identify areas of focus in lab management. Join us and take a deeper look into lab work in the actuarial health industry.

Description: Renal disease is a very heterogenous medical condition whose end state is dialysis, a recurring cost intensive medical condition. Dialysis cost is one of the major medical cost drivers in USA. Insufficient and improper care management in the early stages of CKD (chronic kidney disease) leads to early incidence of end stage renal disease (ESRD) among CKD patients which not only leads to high medical costs, but also reflects poor health quality.

Description: Similar to how states had made adjustments to their capitation rates to reflect acuity adjustments caused by the onset of the pandemic, states will need to modify the rates to reflect the unwinding since utilization patterns and average acuity per enrolled member will change. When the continuous coverage requirements set forth by the COVID-19 Public Health Emergency (PHE) ended, Medicaid-managed care programs across the country adopted various approaches to phasing out maintenance of effort (MOE) as a result of changes to the PHE-era continuous eligibility requirements. Phasing out the MOE requirement will ultimately result in members who no longer meet eligibility requirements losing their Medicaid coverage. Further, states are facing a wide variety of circumstances and are implementing diverse approaches to the MOE phase-out. This topic will be of significant interest to all actuaries and stakeholders of the capitation rate development process for Medicaid-managed care programs. Join us as we discuss the operationalization of the PHE unwind while referencing the SOA's research project which models the effects of the unwinding on Medicaid eligibility and population costs. You will learn about the various approaches that different states have adopted to manage the unwinding process, which will be instrumental for accurately pricing managed care rates.

Description: One of the most effective ways to convey quantitative results is via data visualization. However, many times actuaries have been ineffective in doing this. In this session, you will see a demonstration of certain dataviz choices that make communicating results more effective in terms of graph type choice, graph element styles, colors and more. All examples will be in Excel-and doesn't require Visual Basic for Applications (VBA)! Nothing too fancy! I want to distribute working files to attendees before the session so they can follow along with how to build the graphs, make changes, etc. Graph choices will include line graph, tile grid map and jitter graph.

Description: Cover a variety of topics centered around the unsupervised learning technique called 'clustering'. The presenters will take you through a wide array of topics that range from 'What is Clustering?' to 'How can I use this technique to solve problems I didn't even know existed?' In the health care industry, everyone is looking for an edge in reducing total spend-cluster analysis finds the unambiguous in an ambiguous framework of results.

Description: At the conclusion of this session, attendees will be equipped to apply relative risk curves in their actuarial work, including the ability to examine dose-response relationships, apply population attributable fractions (PAFs), and develop customized risk models for cause-specific mortality and morbidity outcomes based on individual-level exposures to selected risk factors. These skills are becoming increasingly important as actuaries adopt novel applications of big data and dynamic health information to refine risk assessments and keep pace with global health trends.