Description: Investment Fallacies: The Best Model Doesn't Win

Description: Investment Fallacies: The "Dollar Bill" Fallacy

Description: This paper investigates the use of models of dependent mortality for determining annuity values. We discuss a broad class of parametric models using a bivariate survivorship function called a copula. Using data from a large insurance company to illustrate our methods, we calculate maximum likelihood estimates to calibrate the rnodel.

Description: This paper presents the modeling of mortality risk from exposure to a potential future extreme event such as a natural disaster and a terrorist attack, and its impact on life insurance. With this new model, quantities associated with the total force of mortality such as survival function are derived and the impact of mortality risk on life insurance is examined.

Description: Investment Fallacies: Mathematical modeling of social phenomena

Description: Investment Fallacies: On the Validity of Common Portfolio Return Assumptions

Description: Investment Fallacies: Gambler’s Fallacy: Probability of Reversion

Description: This paper discusses the actuarial risk measures and uses a variety of estimation techniques such as nonparametric approach, parametric methods and robust procedures. From 39th Actuarial Research Conference, Iowa City, Iowa, August 5-7, 2004.

Description: This is an abstract of presentation from 39th Actuarial Research Conference, 8/5-7/2004, University of Iowa in Iowa City, Iowa. In this talk, we examine the modeling of insurance losses resulting from natural catastrophes, particularly losses to residential and commercial structures as a result of earthquakes. The model proposed can also be used for other types of natural catastrophes such as floods and hurricanes.

Description: Investment Fallacies: The Fallacy of the Fed Model