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  • Back to the Futurism

    Back to the Futurism The article gives a brief history of the development of the Delphi method, and describes the use of the Delphi method in studies by the Society of Actuaries over the past 25 ...

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    • Authors: Ben Wolzenski
    • Date: Dec 2015
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • Creating a Useful Training Dataset for Predictive Modeling

    Creating a Useful Training Dataset for Predictive Modeling Even the best algorithms are only effective if they are trained on appropriate data. This article discusses common pitfalls in creating ...

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    • Authors: Anders Larson
    • Date: Dec 2016
    • Competency: Professional Values>Practice expertise; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Predictive Analytics; Technology & Applications>Analytics and informatics
  • Should Actuaries Get Another Job? Nassim Taleb’s work and it’s significance for actuaries

    Should Actuaries Get Another Job? Nassim Taleb’s work and it’s significance for actuaries In this article, the author examines Nassim Taleb’s work and writings and discusses its relevance to the ...

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    • Authors: Alan Mills
    • Date: Mar 2010
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
    • Publication Name: Risk Management
    • Topics: Actuarial Profession; Enterprise Risk Management; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • Chairperson talks about the activities of the section.

    Chairperson talks about the activities of the section. Chairperson talks about the activities of the section. prediction;forecast;assumptions;standards of practice 6442457424 08/01/2014 05:00:00 ...

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    • Authors: Society of Actuaries, Barry Franklin
    • Date: Aug 2014
    • Competency: Professional Values
    • Publication Name: Risk Management
    • Topics: Actuarial Profession>Standards of practice; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Pensions & Retirement>Assumptions and methods
  • What does ERM mean for Health Practitioners?

    What does ERM mean for Health Practitioners? In this article, the author discusses the considerations and advantages of implementing an integrated enterprise risk management program for a health ...

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    • Authors: Max Rudolph
    • Date: Feb 2010
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>External forces and business performance; Relationship Management>Staff management and motivation; Results-Oriented Solutions; Strategic Insight and Integration>Effective decision-making; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Incorporate risk management
    • Publication Name: Health Watch
    • Topics: Economics>Health economics; Enterprise Risk Management; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • Author's response to Comments on His Paper The Case for Stochastic Present Values

    Author's response to Comments on His Paper The Case for Stochastic Present Values Author response to Eric Friedman’s comments on ‘The Case for Stochastic Present Values,” by Dimitry Mindlin ...

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    • Authors: Dimitry D Mindlin
    • Date: Jun 2010
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Pensions & Retirement>Assumptions and methods; Pensions & Retirement>Pension finance; Pensions & Retirement>Public sector plans
  • Comments on ‘The Case for Stochastic Present Values,” by Dimitry Mindlin

    Comments on ‘The Case for Stochastic Present Values,” by Dimitry Mindlin Eric Friedman’s comments on ‘The Case for Stochastic Present Values,” by Dimitry Mindlin Asset allocation;Discount rates= ...

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    • Authors: Eric S Friedman
    • Date: Jun 2010
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Pensions & Retirement>Assumptions and methods; Pensions & Retirement>Pension finance; Pensions & Retirement>Public sector plans
  • Mortality Improvement: Will it continue in the future or will trends reverse?

    Mortality Improvement: Will it continue in the future or will trends reverse? This summary explains the techniques used and the results from the application of futurism techniques utilized to ...

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    • Authors: Allen Klein
    • Date: Jan 2008
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • Actuaries: Do We Know Our Limits?

    Actuaries: Do We Know Our Limits? Given the limits of classical actuarial modeling and forecasting techniques, this newsletter contains articles discussing several ways to supplement your toolset.

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    • Authors: David Snell
    • Date: Jan 2012
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • Growing Artificial Societies: Social Science from the Bottom Up, by Joshua M. Epstein and Robert Axtell

    Growing Artificial Societies: Social Science from the Bottom Up, by Joshua M. Epstein and Robert Axtell Book review of: Social Science from the Bottom Up, by Joshua M. Epstein and Robert Axtell ...

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    • Authors: Ben Wolzenski
    • Date: Jul 2012
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial theory in business context
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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