2023 ImpACT Conference - Session 4J: From the Rear-view Mirror to the Telescope: the Future of Mortality. 10.24.23 Recording

As we step out of a historical pandemic that put words like life expectancy and mortality rate on everyone's vocabulary, we suffer some measure of intellectual PTSD. This dark period magnifies our cognitive bias as we try to understand future mortality, a key variable both for life insurance and pension plans.Does our propensity to quantify and the attractiveness of new predictive modeling tools cloud our judgment? Check out a reflection framework and insights on scientific discoveries that will allow you to develop plausible scenarios that will enrich your thought process.The panelist will start by presenting what is new when we think about future mortality. We will then facilitate the generation of plausible scenarios by the audience and explain how we evaluate them. There will be no answers, but the relevance of your mortality questions will definitely improve. TRACK: Assumptions and Experience Studies (Mortality, Longevity Improvements, Interest Rates, NGE, Etc.);SOA Research/Initiatives