Description: In this paper, a general multivariate duration analysis is introduced that does not depend on a mathematical formulation of the way in which a yield curve moves. To motivate the multivariate approach, simple examples are presented that demonstrate the limitations of the traditional model when yield curve shifts are not parallel.

Description: Market consistent valuations require path-dependent discounting for scenarios. IFRS 17's requirement to discount best-estimate cashflows using locked-in rates could give non-sensical results in many instances. This article describes a technique for calibrating each of the scenario's cashflows so that they can be discounted with other discount factors or curves without distorting the value of underlying options and guarantees.

Description: What is a "super" model? How do we develop, maintain, and visualize them? What is the difference between models and assumptions? Most importantly, how can we use all of this to quantifiably improve risk management?

Description: This report provides a toolkit for actuaries and other interested parties to model and forecast mortality by cause and socioeconomic factors.

Description: The document is a report on U.S. Population Mortality Observations updated with 2022 experience by R. Jerome Holman, FSA, MAAA. It covers mortality trends, analyses by factors like sex, age group, and cause of death, and includes methodological details for the data presented.

Description: A description of the random generalized linear model (RGLM) and how to use it.

Description: This document shows you how to set up modeling platforms and start to work with them. Used in conjunction with Complexity Science - An Introduction and Invitiation for Actuaries.

Description: The editors preview the articles in the February 2010 issue of Health Watch.