Description: This report gives an update on the Getzen Model of Long-Run Medical Cost Trends for 2025-2035+, providing insights on key considerations, input parameters, and projections. It includes observations on long-term medical cost trends, budgetary resistance, and regulatory impacts on healthcare expenditures.

Description: The Society of Actuaries Catastrophe & Climate Strategic Research Program issued a call for essays to examine the extent climate change factors are or will contribute to excessive heat-related morbidity or mortality over the short or long term, including probable scenarios and projections of future morbidity and mortality costs, risks and uncertainties.

Description: Seeking researchers to analyze long-term risk trends via survey data and develop engaging report formats for broad audiences.

Description: This is a collection of essays from the Society of Actuaries Research Institute, focusing on the potential impact of AI on human longevity and its consequences for modeling future survival/mortality. It includes various essays discussing AI's role in mortality modeling, life expectancy, and implications for actuarial methods.

Description: This article series highlights the growing impact of climate change on health, property, and financial institutions, emphasizing the need for actuaries and risk analysts to evaluate and adapt their practices to manage evolving climate-related risks.

Description: This article series highlights the growing impact of climate change on health, property, and financial institutions, emphasizing the need for actuaries and risk analysts to evaluate and adapt their practices to manage evolving climate-related risks.

Description: This report presents initial findings from a project investigating the direct and indirect impacts of COVID-19 in the post-acute phase of the pandemic. These findings focused on cause-specific excess mortality in the first three pandemic years, March 2020 to February 2023. In addition, the authors investigated how different mechanisms contributed and could continue to affect mortality rates following the acute pandemic period. The study is based on weekly mortality data by age and cause of death from 2015 to 2023 obtained from the National Center for Health Statistics at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, combined with population estimates from the U.S. Census Bureau. Weekly excess deaths by age and cause comparing observed deaths to deaths expected based on pre-pandemic trends were computed. Then the temporal correlation between weekly COVID-19 and excess deaths from other causes at various lags were assessed. The authors developed a theoretical framework to interpret the results of this analysis and understand potential underlying factors responsible for excess mortality.

Description: The Society of Actuaries (SOA) is pleased to present historical U.S. population mortality rates by sex and single year of age for calendar years 2000-2022.

Description: This report examines the demographic, medical, and pharmaceutical profiles of HIV-positive individuals in Medicare and how their needs differ from the general Medicare population.

Description: The Health Care Cost Trends Strategic Research Committee is looking for research proposals to study the impact of Artificial Intelligence on any of the following elements of healthcare • Evaluate the impact on predictability of financial results • Evaluate the impact on the efficiency of care management techniques applied to members • Compare results to traditional risk adjustment and traditional methodologies of predictive analytics • Determine an overall financial impact of applying AI to identify these high cost claimants.