Description: The Society of Actuaries’ Aging and Retirement Strategic Research Program is pleased to make available a summary report that highlights key findings from the latest biennial survey, Risks and Process of Retirement. The survey, the eleventh in the series, was conducted online of Americans ages 45 to 80. The purpose of the study is to evaluate Americans’ awareness of potential financial risks in retirement, how this awareness impacts the management of their finances with respect to retirement, and how Americans are managing the process of leaving the workforce. The survey was conducted by Mathew Greenwald & Associates, Inc. The full report of findings is forthcoming and will be posted soon. Additionally, several special topics reports examining aspects of the findings will be posted as they become available.

Description: Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD) affects many lives and has a large impact on health systems around the world. To better understand and predict costs for insurance plan members with CKD in the United States, we built a new model of their individual costs. Our model is the first to explicitly model both the CKD stage transition process and the distribution of costs given those stages.

Description: This report examines the impact on risk scores in risk adjustment models when there are timing differences for model updates and risk factor mappings.

Description: The devastation wrought by opioid related deaths is national news. This article looks at the details behind the statistics.

Description: The SOA is pleased to make available a research report providing insight and considerations for the actuarial profession in assessing the potential risk and opportunities of MACRA to both provider and payer organizations.

Description: The Health Care Cost Trends Strategic Research Committee is looking for research proposals to study the impact of Artificial Intelligence on any of the following elements of healthcare • Evaluate the impact on predictability of financial results • Evaluate the impact on the efficiency of care management techniques applied to members • Compare results to traditional risk adjustment and traditional methodologies of predictive analytics • Determine an overall financial impact of applying AI to identify these high cost claimants.

Description: Process risk, estimation error, model uncertainty, trend risk and catastrophe risk are the five main components of longevity risk uncertainty. In the face of this daunting uncertainty, what should the actuarial practitioner do? This session focuses on assessing model uncertainty, process risk and estimation error in mortality modeling. Besides discussing the theory behind methods for performing the assessment, presenters provide attendees with practical examples using R to help them in applying the methodologies and concepts presented.

Description: Rosas' presentation from the 40th Actuarial Research Conference focusing on demographics in Mexico. From Actuarial Research Clearing House, 2006.

Description: Recommendation for a set of improvement factors to be used in conjunction with the 2008 Valuation Basic table or the 2015 Valuation Basic table

Description: Summary of a LTD Profitability and Market Survery discussing growth, profits and new developments. Issue No. 34.