Description: An overview of the evolution of equity-based guarantees (e.g. VA, FIA, etc.) over the last few years and discussion the current lay of the land as it relates to the regulatory, issues, capital markets environment in which these products are offered.

Description: You’ve built or updated a predictive model. Is it any good? How can you interpret and understand its predictions? How does it compare to alternative models? This session will look at traditional and non-traditional ways of validating predictive models, with examples from case studies.

Description: This session will explore the various methods of determining the credibility levels that are given to various size employer groups and Medicare plans. The background and theory of the methods that have commonly been used will be explained and then some new data-driven research in the area and possible alternatives will be discussed.

Description: The presenters explain the current state of model risk management in the insurance industry and shares insight on some of the best practices and common themed challenges. They also explore where model risk management is headed going forward and what a more optimal framework would look like.

Description: Actuaries use data, math, intuition, and domain expertise to make decisions under uncertainty. Bayesian models formalize the techniques many of us use every day. While many Bayesian models are impossible to solve analytically, new tools allow us to create rich Bayesian models and use computers to evaluate them quickly. In this session we will build several Bayesian models using Python and pymc3, a probabilistic programming language, to demonstrate Bayesian techniques that can be applied to actuarial work.

Description: In the speech, the presenter will share her insights based on three aspects: 1. Investment management is an important part of the whole process of risk management; 2. Methods and processes of asset allocation as well as risk management considerations; 3. The interaction between liability and asset is critical to risk management.

Description: This session is targeted for new ASAs/FSAs or actuaries who are new to reserving. The session will be delivered in two parts. The first part is intended to deliver a basic understanding of IBNR reserving and different reserving methods and assumptions. We will go through examples of constructing claims triangles and developing completion factors, while exploring concepts such as seasonality, trend and outlier claims. During the second part of the session, we will apply the material from the first part to look at various example from different products such as inpatient, outpatient, RX, Medicare Supplement, dental, critical illness, etc.

Description: This session will look into life insurers’ anticipated business impacts as a result of the implementation of the new accounting standard for insurance contracts, IFRS 17. What will be the financial impact as of day one as a result of transition? How will embedded value for common life insurance products change? How will costs of reinsurance be affected? Will products have to be re-designed and/or re-priced? IFRS 17 may have more ramifications into the way insurers are doing business than we have anticipated so far. While we are working on the implementation of this new standard, we should not lose sight of the business impacts that will follow. At the conclusion of the session, attendees will be able to: Understand key impacts of the transition to IFRS 17; See illustrative examples of the impact on embedded value; and Understand key impacts on product design and pricing Country Relevance: US and Canada

Description: The speaker hopes to share and exchange his own experience and thinking in enterprise management with colleagues in the industry, so as to better solve problems for the enterprise to enhance and expand the value of actuaries themselves.

Description: The presenters in this session will show attendees how to measure surplus risk for a corporate pension plan (or a pension plan where liabilities are valued on a current marked to market yield curve) in several different ways, understand the value of each of those methods, and use the results to make decisions on relevant corporate pension actions such as asset allocation and pension risk transfer. They will also compare LDI strategies between corporate and public pension plans.