Description: Since most cash flows being discounted in the value calculation are dependent on the forward rates, in the key-rate calculation forwards (not spots) should be shifted. I will show that if spots are shifted up/down, they would not necessarily result in forwards being up/down for all the years in the particular key rate, resulting in unexpected results. I will further show how metrics calculated by shifting forwards versus spots enhance the accuracy of the approximation of projected value in various rate environments.

Description: Strategic Risk Management was given lower priority in a recent survey of ERM Objectives. This article tells how the author believes that recent events have caused many to shift to a more short term focus and in the future there will be a shift back to a priority for the longer term view that stands behind Strategic Risk Management when the environment settles down and things again seem to be more predictable.

Description: This research report models the impact on the U.S. insurance market resulting from a post-Brexit economy in the UK.

Description: This paper expands upon current capital analysis by introducing a practical approach that considers the objectives of all stakeholders of an insurance company in setting appropriate capital targets. In addition, the paper introduces a technique for estimating capital adequacy that is based on mapping stochastic distributions of regulatory and rating agency capital measures to observable financial rating transition matrices.

Description: Objective: to provide benchmarking information to companies address needs of internal stakeholders in cost-effectively conducting/implementing an ORSA process.

Description: This abstract describes a paper that proposes the use of the Co Conditional Tail Expectation 'CoCTE' to measure systemic risk and endogenizes the pro-cyclicality of capital requirements.

Description: This abstract describes a paper that considers a general risk model in which both the claim and income gain arrivals follow Poisson processes.

Description: Presented at August 2011 46th Actuarial Research Conference. This paper focuses on mainly focus on the case in which the risk variable follows a distribution function from a max-domain of attraction.

Description: This presentation develops an integrated approach that addresses simultaneously guaranteed annuity option (GAO)’s pricing and capital requirement calculation.

Description: Since health care reform has made accountable care organizations a hot topic, an SOA workgroup is addressing relevant questions, including provider risk under various ACO models, limitations of the Medicare model for motivating change in the health care delivery system, strategic priorities, attribution of members, meaurement, and the roles actuaries can play.