Description: Mortality Model Selection and Combination in RAlternative approaches for selecting mortality models and forecasting mortality have been proposed. The usual practice is to base mortality forecasts on a single mortality model selected using in-sample goodness-of-fit measures. However, cross-validation and other alternative out-of-sample measures are increasingly being used in model selection, and model combination methods are becoming a common alternative to using a single mortality model. Such methods combine predictions from multiple mortality models to reduce model choice uncertainty and improve forecast accuracy. Explore techniques to select and combine mortality models using the freely available open source R package CoMoMo (https://github.com/kessysalvatory/CoMoMo), which extends the widely used R package StMoMo (https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=StMoMo). We will use data for the USA and other countries to discuss and demonstrate four different model combination approaches including simple model averaging, Bayesian model averaging, model confidence set, and stacked regression ensembles.

Description: Risk is opportunity! Equipped with skills to analyze risks, actuaries are no longer limited to applying these skills solely within traditional actuarial roles. Listen in as the presenters share their career experience in a non-traditional role and provide insights on how being an actuary can bring additional value to the profession.

Description: "Hear AM Best rating analysts discuss the rating process and the best capital adequacy ratio (BCAR), a quantitative foundation for AM Best’s assessment of carriers’ financial strength. The benchmarking of BCAR scores for various company types (national MCOs, BCBS plans, smaller regional plans) will be discussed. Look at how changes in investment and underwriting environment impacted the results over the past several years. Further, AM Best’s view of the quality of capital and various factors impacting the overall assessment of the balance sheet strength will be discussed. By attending this session, you will: Gain an understanding of AM Best’s building block approach to ratings and how the BCAR results fit into the process. Learn the differences between RBC and BCAR models. Learn how various factors—e.g. liquidity, financial flexibility, financial leverage, the org structure—impact the final AM Best assessment of health companies' capital."

Description: "Hear an overview of recent results and potential scenarios that may impact the future of the ACA market. Review recent reported industry level profitability before transitioning to a discussion of how current market dynamics may influence the future profitability of this segment. Results from microsimulation economic models will be presented to help illuminate market shifts. Issues that will be explored include how ICRA availability might influence individual decision making, as well as how a move to level funding is impacting the small group market. By attending this session, you will: Understand the recent average and variation of industry performance in the ACA market segment. Describe current policy and market forces that are expected to impact this segment. Explain the range of market scenarios that may result due to these forces."

Description: With the mandated health plan transparency files, health plans and providers are now able to substantially enhance their provider contracting efforts. Although the files are large and cumbersome they are market disruptors and provide new insights for provider contracting efforts. Explore a demonstration on the type of information now available and how it can be used to enhance this from both a health plan and health care provider perspective.

Description: This interactive webcast is designed for actuaries at various levels to learn how to improve their communication skills by actively participating via polling and open forums. At the conclusion of this webcast, attendees will: • Understand the key pillars of effective communication • Be better able to communicate in a clear, compelling way • Understand how to simplify their language to reach diverse audiences.

Description: In this session, presenters will share the impacts of transition to IFRS 17 on equity and various KPIs across insurance companies (Life & P&C), as well as share some observations of what the IFRS 17 landscape looks like across different global regions. The session will conclude with lessons learned and expectations for emerging practices under IFRS 17 globally.

Description: If you work with code, models, or are passionate about the model development life cycle (and who isn't?), then "Git" yourself a spot for this webinar! If you got pulled in by a punny title and are confused - let's level set: Git is a free program used for distributed version control in coding projects. Almost all software development the world over depends on this crucial program. Git is the answer to common concerns with code, such as: "How do I know no one accidentally changed anything?", "How do I separate production and development?", and "How do I deal with multiple cooks in the kitchen?". Other technical professionals like data scientists use Git on a day-to-day basis, and we believe it's important that actuaries who regularly work in code also pick up this crucial skill. In this webinar, we will cover the basic "What", "Why", and "How" of Git. We will also include a live demo to showcase the basic process flow. We aim to flatten the oft-perceived steep learning curve by presenting all lessons in a friendly and approachable manner.

Description: Understanding Mortality Trends

Description: A Practical Use of AI in Pension Risk Transfer