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Investigating the Future: Lessons from the 'Scene of the Crime'
Investigating the Future: Lessons from the 'Scene of the Crime' Specifies 6 rules which help shape not only good crime-scene analysis, but good futures practice, as well. These ...- Authors: Application Administrator
- Date: Jan 2012
- Competency: Relationship Management>Team leadership; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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From the Chairperson: Future = Unknown = Risk = Opportunity
From the Chairperson: Future = Unknown = Risk = Opportunity A summary of the activities of the Forecasting & Futurism Section, including research initiatives, participation in Delphi studies ...- Authors: Donald Krouse
- Date: Jul 2012
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial theory in business context
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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How to Win an iPad2
How to Win an iPad2 The purpose of this article is to provide a refresher on regression and times series models so that actuaries will feel more comfortable building forecasting models. ;; Risk ...- Authors: Qichun Xu
- Date: Jul 2012
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial theory in business context
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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From the Editor: Judgmental Methods, Collaboration, Contests and More!
From the Editor: Judgmental Methods, Collaboration, Contests and More! A summary of how the Forecasting and Futurism Section is networking with other SOA sections and with external organizations ...- Authors: David Snell
- Date: Jul 2010
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Are Genetic Algorithms Even Applicable to Actuaries?
Are Genetic Algorithms Even Applicable to Actuaries? The author discusses the use of genetic algorithms as they apply to actuaries, specifically the application of characteristics and their ...- Authors: Benjamin Steward Wadsley
- Date: Jul 2011
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Finance & Investments>Asset liability management; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Hidden Markov Models and You
Hidden Markov Models and You An introduction to Hidden Markov Models, which are used extensively in speech and facial recognition technology. They are a useful tool in forecasting time series and ...- Authors: Brian Grossmiller
- Date: Jul 2013
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Markov Chain
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Predictive Modeling
Predictive Modeling A general introduction about predictive modeling in insurance applications. Some basic models are discussed, such as Generalized Linear Model(GLM), Calssification and ...- Authors: Qichun Xu
- Date: Jul 2013
- Competency: Professional Values>Practice expertise; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Data mining; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Why Consider a Delphi Study?
Why Consider a Delphi Study? Describes what a Delphi study is and why actuaries might want to use one. 6442481995 4/1/2018 12:00:00 AM ...- Authors: Ben Wolzenski
- Date: Apr 2018
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>General business skills
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Mortality Improvement: The Ultimate Onion
Mortality Improvement: The Ultimate Onion Identifies current trends and considerations when setting the mortality improvement assumption for individual life insurance in the US. Life reinsurance; ...- Authors: Jay Biehl, Edward Hui
- Date: Nov 2018
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial theory in business context; External Forces & Industry Knowledge>External forces and business performance; Strategic Insight and Integration>Big picture view; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition
- Publication Name: Reinsurance News
- Topics: Demography>Mortality - Demography; Demography>Longevity; Demography>Population data; Experience Studies & Data>Mortality; Life Insurance>Pricing - Life Insurance; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Predictive Analytics; Reinsurance>Life reinsurance; Reinsurance>General reinsurance
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DxCG Comments on A Comparative Analysis of Claims-Based Tools for Health Risk Assessment
DxCG Comments on A Comparative Analysis of Claims-Based Tools for Health Risk Assessment The comments of DxCG about their participation in the SOA study A Comparative Analysis of Claims-Based ...- Authors: Society of Actuaries
- Date: May 2007
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial theory in business context; External Forces & Industry Knowledge>External forces and business performance
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Deterministic models; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Modeling efficiency