Description: The Society of Actuaries released research in 2007, performed by Jim Toole, that develops a model for a U.S. individual life insurance company to consider its potential liability exposure as a result of a pandemic. Sponsored by the Mortality and Longevity Strategic Research Program Steering Committee, this paper updates several model assumptions including mortality in light of COVID-19.

Description: In today’s business world, many financial decisions undergo considerable analysis before the decision is made and the decision-maker is often held accountable for the outcomes. The purpose of this research is to introduce the concept of total risk analysis (TRA), which is designed to help the decision-maker answer key questions at the time the decision is made. This paper will focus on a specific example of a typical healthcare decision: setting a budget for claims in the upcoming year. In addition to explaining TRA and providing a case study, this paper presents quantitative research regarding cost distributions for health care costs.

Description: The Mortality and Longevity and Catastrophe and Climate Strategic Research Programs are pleased to make available a report summarizing an expert panel brought together to discuss the impact of wildfires on U.S. health and life insurers.

Description: This is a study to perform a mortality analysis of the 1898-1902 birth cohort.

Description: 2021 Generally Recognized Expense Table (GRET) recommendations.

Description: This is the full research report for the thirteenth Emerging Risk Survey which summarizes the results of the survey.

Description: This report examines the use of a copula approach to build a predictive model to estimate the amount of economic capital a life insurance company needs to protect itself against an adverse movement in interest rates, mortality, and other risk drivers.

Description: For insurance companies, modeling the future values of assets and their interactions is useful for setting up asset strategies and managing reserves for liabilities. This paper evaluates the ability of Wilkie’s stochastic investment models to predict Toronto Stock Exchange [TSX] price index yield. In the Wilkie Model, correlated econometric indices are modeled through a cascade structure.

Description: This presentation discusses a process for determining the minimum reinsurance retention level consistent with defined parameters. The conclusions reached were: 1. Under PDS dependence, optimal reinsurance strategy is multivariate stop loss form. 2. Explicit solutions could be derived in certain bivariate model. 3. Binding and unbinding constraints are equivalent. From Actuarial Research Clearing House, 2012, Vol. 1.

Description: This is a presentation on computing tight bounds for insurance payments with nonlinear risk. Semi-definite Programming is defined, some examples are presented, and non-linear applications are presented. From Actuarial Research Clearing House, 2012, Vol.1.