Description: Human longevity is one of the great success stories of the past century, and there is growing consensus that there are further gains to come. What will these future gains look like, where will they come from and how likely are they to happen. Furthermore, how do we as actuaries deal with the uncertainty when trying to predict future long-term mortality improvements more than 20 years into the future. This is one of the most important assumptions on the balance sheet that insurers and reinsurers make, so it is important to have a strong perspective on it. Our presentation will give attendees a view into some of the core components of how to assess long-term mortality improvements by looking at the cyclical nature across different countries of life expectancy. It will also deep dive into the different drivers of life expectancy over the past cycle driven largely by improved diagnosis and treatment of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and cessation of smoking, which ended in about 2010. It will then discuss how population mortality improvement has slowed and plateaued in many major countries.

Description: Internal modernization initiatives and external changes of the financial reporting regulations (e.g., LDTI, IFRS 17) increase the amount of validation activities for actuarial models. In addition, the use of predictive analytics in actuarial modeling requires a different set of validation skillsets/techniques in model validation. These internal and external forces call for a structured, streamlined and robust model validation practice.

Description: Much of the work performed by disability insurance actuaries depends on the availability of accurate and detailed data, which is not always as simple as it sounds. Explore a variety of data challenges faced by disability actuaries, along with potential solutions. Potential topics include finding relevant data, the impact of poor data on valuation work, the impact of new privacy rules, and the potential bias in the data used to develop predictive models.

Description: You’ve written the position papers, updated the models, and designed the required disclosures, but you may be wondering how to explain the results during interim financial reporting periods to company management as well as other stakeholders. This session will explore ways to adapt existing management reporting and offer ideas for new metrics. We will explore various methods for analyzing DAC amortization patterns, market risk benefit reserve patterns, and Liability for Future Benefits (LFPB) movements. In addition, this session will explore ways to integrate changes in LDTI with business planning and other broader business issues such as product pricing considerations and reinsurance strategy.

Description: Virtual - Session 1A: From Actuary to Data Scientist - Career Journeys into AI

Description: How are regulation and innovation intertwined? How do we regulate AI/ML in the insurance industry? We will cover how regulators are striking the balance between protection of their constituents and supporting innovation. We will zoom into the case of Predictive Analytics and the regulatory attempt at avoiding undue discrimination. Let's discuss what this really means.

Description: This report provides actuaries and other professionals working with risk, data and analytics or program evaluation in the health care space with considerations and frameworks related to the use of determinants of health (DOH) in data and actuarial work streams. Such frameworks can leverage new data sources to enrich health care data analysis to move beyond traditional data elements, such as age, gender, zip code or health diagnosis.