Description: Pandemics are a main driver of losses for both life and non-life (re-)insurance. Until COVID-19, risk assessment mostly relied on a few historic examples, most importantly the Spanish flu. The COVID-19 pandemic has shown that other pathogens (namely the coronaviruses) need to be taken into account. Also, modern societies and governments drastically respond to novel threats and implement measures such as social distancing, mask mandates, and lockdowns. Besides the properties of the pathogen itself, these reactions and the medical progression (namely the development of vaccines) are key influences on the course of a pandemic, and thus also the resulting outcomes. To account for the new insights, join us as we take a look at a stochastic, age-structured compartmental model that is calibrated on recent pandemics with several parameters sets to model different levels of reaction speed and stringency between groups of countries. Other important factors also must be defined in close collaboration with experts. Get ready to explore the development of a model and framework that can provide potential outcomes to be used as the basis to derive both summary and tail statistics to assess pandemic risk and help price complex deals.

Description: While many know that machine learning is a big deal and even have a general idea of what it is, many do not know what machine learning can do for them. As an alternative to citing achievements or explaining algorithms, this article outlines the challenges that occur in statistics and the solutions that machine learning offers. Some of those challenges include correlated predictors, missing data, data interaction, and prediction intervals. Corresponding solutions include regularization technics, missing value imputation with KNN, tree based models, and cluster analysis for backtesting.

Description: Attend if you are an organization interested in utilizing various kinds of client data to improve the whole insurance sales process, and to develop new applications. Interested parties may include distribution sales force, underwriting, claims, actuarial and finance departments within a typical insurance company, online distribution partners, health care providers and other consulting service providers. The research looks into various use cases, which are typically main issues in modeling in the insurance industry. The research also helps benchmark performance using different languages that may serve as a good reference when best to use a certain language to enhance the development cycle.

Description: ALM and hedging can reap significant benefits from innovation in computation and operations research. Explore applications of static and dynamic optimization in two different ALM and hedging use cases. Insurers are increasingly moving offshore by establishing Bermuda captive reinsurers. In calculating the Bermuda Best Estimate Liability ('BEL'), reinsurers will need to segment assets to support liabilities in each treaty. A Linear Programming ('LP') problem can be formulated to tactically select assets in a way that minimizes the BEL and consequently the total asset requirement. Learn more about what US Variable Annuity Insurers face with the regulatory requirement to reflect 'future hedging strategy' in their statutory funding calculation. The traditional numerical method of finding the optimal hedging target and then allocating assets may encounter the curse of dimensionality with expanding product and economic environment complexity. A Reinforcement Learning algorithm may well fit this problem and provide insurers a solution for dynamic hedging.

Description: Our panel will discuss techniques for efficiently modeling assets and liabilities while minimizing the computational expense of full-blown nested Monte Carlo simulation. These techniques include: • Neural networks • Data clustering and selection of representative contracts • Scenario reduction • Proxy functions for estimating the value of complex assets and exotic derivatives embedded in liabilities. Attendees will learn about the theory behind these techniques and implementation practicalities, and we will present case studies illustrating their benefits.

Description: CMS has required hospitals to publish their chargemaster rates, cash discounts and negotiated rates as of January 1, 2021. Our panel is comprised of a data strategist, an executive from a large hospital system and an actuary.

Description: "Discuss research conducted at the Cleveland Clinic to understand levels of anxiety and depression across Northeast Ohio. Specifically, learn how advanced analytical techniques were utilized with social media data from Twitter and Google to estimate the need for psychological support by geography and overtime. The panel will go further to demonstrate how natural language processing (NLP) and machine learning could be used to make operational decisions at a leading health care provider."

Description: "Explore a general introduction to the opportunity of applying a relatively newer area in machine learning called uplift modeling, which has been successfully used in retail (Wayfair etc). The concepts are parallel to the intervention programs in health care, where we are interested in measuring the treatment effects and ultimately directing the right members to the most effective programs, driving the highest value for the programs both from a financial and health outcomes perspective. Uplift modeling can also be viewed in context of causal modeling where we are interested in assigning cause to a treatment relative to a member not receiving the treatment. Check out an introduction on the concept, seehow it relates and builds on existing work, and use a demo to showcase the potential of integrating this ML approach to current work."

Description: This session will examine bias from a social science perspective. It will discuss the three types of systemic biases using the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) model. The NIST model details the three types as historical bias, societal bias, and institutionalbias. The session will also provide several examples of each type to provide a framework for identifying the social structure of bias.

Description: In this session, we will do a deep dive into the potential of large language models; we will explore how new AI tools can be combined with traditional modeling to automate aspects of risk assessment. Industry experts focused on operationalizing this technology will talk through their approaches, lessons learned and demo use cases. We will also share insights around creating a robust AI strategy based on business objectives and regulatory considerations. Learning Outcomes: • Applications of large language models in risk assessment use cases • Regulatory considerations around the use of generative AI