Description: In An Introduction to Incremental Learning, by Qiang Wu and I describe how machine learning is a natural enhancement to predictive analytics through its many useful tools to derive meaning from a lot of otherwise unusable data such as handwriting. Again, there are formulas involved; but we have tried to keep them understandable to the actuary who isn’t already familiar with stochastic gradient descent, perceptrons, and principal component analysis. Incremental learning can help you refine the estimations you derive from more traditional actuarial methods.

Description: The article introduces the concept of overfitting in predictive modeling and illustrates how it hinders our ability to predict new data well.

Description: A discussion on machine learning and how it can be used for forecasting.

Description: This article discusses techniques used to create risk scores to help determine appropriate primary care panel sizes for a provider organization.

Description: The Possible Role of Convolutional Neural Networks in Mortality Risk Protection

Description: Description of methods for extracting and reformatting the existing mortality tables using R. Methods and formats for storage are discussed in the second article. Intent is to generate discussion regarding the format of our stored mortality tables. Value is in the demonstration of task automation in R and in the reduction of duplicate work across companies related to reformatting tables.

Description: The article is a chairperson’s update from Arthur da Silva on the Society of Actuaries (SOA) Emerging Topics Community, written to recap the past year’s accomplishments and outline potential priorities for the year ahead. Its intent is both informational while inviting community member participation and ideas for the year ahead. It also provides insight into the new AI subgroup and how it operates to help community members and other community leaders understand what it delivers and how to get involved.

Description: Article describing content and key takeaways from experience completing the SOA PA Certificate

Description: Discover the key components of value-based care (VBC) contracts and their impact on provider credibility. Learn about benchmarks, measurement period results, and the unique challenges providers face in managing insurance risk. Gain insights into reducing costs and aligning financial incentives in the US healthcare market.