Description: The CMS Risk adjustment model allows actuaries to apply our analytical skills and business knowledge to solve risk and revenue challenges within Health Plans.

Description: Regression to the mean is a phenomenon that arises when comparing sequential data points. It states that when an initial observation is extreme or an outlier, future observations will be closer to the average. Health care actuaries need to understand and be able to mitigate the effects of regression to the mean to avoid misapplying predictive models or misstating measurements of historical effects.

Description: ACA risk adjustment has now been in play for years. The original intent of risk adjustment was to help stabilize the market through measuring risk levels of each issuer. However, the risk adjustment program may have introduced additional uncertainty due to annual market shifts and model changes, making risk adjustment estimation is a difficult task. This article analyzes the results over time, including impacts from market changes and model changes.

Description: Discussion of issues from The Credibility Task Force for Health Coverage. From Health Section News, June 1998, Issue No. 35.

Description: sources of Health Care data Issue No. 37.

Description: Considerations in the Development of Area Factors, Issue No. 38.

Description: This article examines the costs of mental health parity, presents the primary drivers of cost increases from legislation and shows evidence the initial cost projections were too high. From Health Section News, March 2005, Issue No. 49.

Description: 2014 marked a new beginning for small group(SG) health insurance market ushered in with adjusted community rated products priced from a single risk pool. It was anticipated that the mandated pooling of the risk would result in higher rates, especially for healthier groups. It is the aim of this article to show whether that view bears out in the actual market rates and if it is higher, then by how much. The article provides a point in time(1st quarter 2025) comparison of premium rates under two segments of the small group market, namely Qualified Health Plans(QHP) available under the small group ACA market versus self-insured Multiple Employer Welfare Arrangements(MEWA) plans.

Description: Unpaid Loss Reserve fair and reasonable test and two legal cases Utah Medical and Minnesota Lawyers Issue No. 39.

Description: Review of six opinions requried in The Statement of Actuarial Opinion for the Health Annual Statement. Issue No. 48