Description: As the Valuation Manual continues to evolve and PBR standards for additional products are drafted and incorporated, it will become increasingly important for companies to understand where the requirements are consistent across products, as well as how they differ. This session will scan the life (VM-20) and annuity (VM-21, VM-22) PBR standards across the Valuation Manual to compare and contrast key requirements. Attendees will understand where common methods and techniques can be used across products and platforms. Attendees will also be better positioned to consider assumption and margin setting, asset and derivative modeling, and model efficiency techniques for all types of principles-based valuations. Additionally, this session will profile specific challenges that can arise when actuaries use models to project PBR reserves at future dates for internal planning, pricing, and projections across life and annuity businesses.

Description: Regulators observed a wide range of practice from early adopters of PBR in regard to the treatment of non-guaranteed reinsurance and adopted a formulaic solution on an interim basis for the 2020 Valuation Manual. A field test, supplemented with additional analysis performed using a model-office approach with representative models, is being performed over the first half of 2020 to inform regulators as they select a longer-term solution. This session will provide an update on this important issue as well as perspectives on how the resolution of this issue was approached and lessons learned for the future from those intimately involved in this work.

Description: The speech was mainly introduced the current government long-term care insurance in China, analyzed the potential opportunities and challenges of commercial homecare insurance driven by the aging of the society and the pressure of social insurance. Briefly introduced some innovated explorations conducted by our company Fulfill Homecare in these couple of years, with some insurance companies, to bring some thoughts to the innovative insurance product design of commercial care insurance.

Description: The presenters will share information about: -Insights into causes of death through the use of predictive models, based on a reinsured U.S. life portfolio, using logistic regression models to understand three main causes of death: cancer, heart and external causes; -Opioid abuse is a widespread phenomenon with drug-related mortality rates rising steeply in the U.S. over the past two decades. But what does the most recent data tell U.S. about the outlook for Opioid-related mortality?; -'Deaths of despair' have been publicized as a cause for the poor performance of U.S. mortality in recent years. The presenters will be looking at the different causes under this label, their evolution and explore the drivers behind them.

Description: 2011 SOA IFRS Seminar, Hong Kong. This is an Excel spreadsheet associated with Session 15 - 'Cash Flows Workshop' at the 2011 SOA IFRS Seminar held in Hong Kong. This spreadsheet facilitated the sessions objective of calculating the beginning liability values for the Statement of Financial Position.

Description: This presentation considers the pricing of European derivatives in a Black-Scholes model with stochastic volatility. The presentation shows how Parseval’s theorem may be used to express those prices as Fourier integrals. This is a significant improvement over Monte Carlo simulation in many cases. The main ingredient in this presentation's method is the Laplace transform of the ordinary [constant volatility] price of a put or call in the Black-Scholes model, where the transform is taken with respect to maturity [T]. The presentation derives these formulas and then applies them to the case where volatility is modelled as a Markov chain in continuous time, the so-called 'Markov regime switching model'. This model has been used previously in stochastic volatility modelling, but mostly with only N=2 states. The presentation shows how to use N=3 states without difficulty, and how larger number of states can be handled. Numerical illustrations are given, including the volatility smile in a three-state model.

Description: A number of vendors have developed mortality scoring systems through various predictive modeling algorithms. They significantly alter the underwriting and mortality assessment landscape. You have been charged with evaluating these scoring systems. How should you go about doing it to maximize the value of your analysis and minimize the disruption to your product?At the conclusion of the session, attendees will:Learn about the types of scoring systems now available;Learn to create an action plan for evaluation; Learn how to navigate the pitfalls of evaluating something entirely new; andLearn how to integrate the score in your existing processes.

Description: The presenter will discuss North American actuarial careers. He will provide an overview on actuaries in the United States and Canada, including his personal experiences. He will also discuss supply and demand of actuaries in North America.

Description: Reinsurance has been available for VA Guarantees for over 20 years. During that time, the reinsurance market for VA Guarantees has undergone frequent and sometimes violent transformations. Where does the market stand today? What forms and structures of reinsurance are available? Which VA Guarantee designs and features are easier to reinsure? Is reinsurance offered on both newly issued policies as well as in force/legacy books, and which vintages are difficult to reinsure? In an age of sophisticated hedging programs, what role does a reinsurer play in helping a VA writer manage this highly volatile risk? In this session, we will hear from a reinsurer that is actively writing new VA Guarantee reinsurance treaties in the U.S. and around the world, and from a VA writer that has successfully partnered with a reinsurer to enhance its VA product offering

Description: Table of Contents for the 1999 annual meeting of the Society of Actuaries, held in San Francisco, October 1999