Description: This article talks about the role that models played in the subprime meltdown and the subsequent crisis in the financial markets in general. The models failed to provide information about the magnitude of potential 'black swans'. Extreme Value Theory [EVT] is described as a potential solution to this error.

Description: Book review of Extreme Risk Management: Revolutionary Approaches to Evaluating and Measuring Risk by author Christina Ray.

Description: Feature article discussing how to do a model update.

Description: Oliver Wyman recently completed its 2020 Life PBR Emerging Practices survey, with results providing a broad industry perspective on implementation impacts, strategy, assumptions and challenges. This article provides further insights into the trends and drivers observed around planned future refinements to PBR models.

Description: This document is a Request for Proposals (RFP) issued by the SOA Research Institute focusing on advancing catastrophe modeling and sustainability in Asia, particularly in ASEAN markets. It outlines research objectives, proposal requirements, selection process, submission details, and other pertinent information for interested researchers.

Description: The Society of Actuaries (SOA) Research Institute’s Mortality and Longevity Strategic Research Program Steering Committee issued a call for essays to explore the application of artificial intelligence (AI) to mortality and longevity. The objective was to gather a variety of perspectives and experiences on the use of AI in mortality modeling, forecasting and prediction to promote discussion and future research around this topic. The collection includes six essays that were accepted for publication from all submissions. Two essays were chosen for prizes based on their creativity, originality, and likelihood of further thought on the subject matter.

Description: This document discusses the comparison of lifetables generated using classic demographic techniques and the Human Mortality Database method protocol for socioeconomic deciles from 1982 to 2022. It explains differences in estimation methods, calculation steps for lifetables, advantages and disadvantages of each approach, and a comparison of lifetable values.

Description: This report designs a comprehensive life-cycle fund model, including a detailed sensitivity analysis, to optimize portfolio allocation for U.S. retirement plans.

Description: The Casualty Actuarial Society, the Society of Actuaries Research Institute, the Society of Actuaries Joint Risk Management, Reinsurance and Financial Reporting Sections are pleased to make available key findings from the 2022 Emerging Risks Survey, the sixteenth in the series. Conducted by Max J. Rudolph of Rudolph Financial Consulting LLC, the survey incorporated a set of Emerging Risks defined by the World Economic Forum as the basis for several of the questions. The survey also included questions related to current risk management topics.

Description: Gather with members and non-members in the China actuarial community to discuss recent topics and related issues in areas such as macroeconomic sharing, pension, investment, product strategy, and more.