Description: This project obtains ensemble simulations of surface atmospheric temperature over North America.

Description: This report explores AI bias in insurance and health data, highlighting the ethical role of actuaries and offering cross-disciplinary guidance for fairer decision-making systems.

Description: This report is a technical paper on a Predictive Analytics Framework and Reusable Workflow for Experience Analysis in actuarial studies. It covers data analysis, machine learning models, methodologies, and model interpretation techniques.

Description: This report proposes a methodology to isolate crop yield improvement due to technological change and favorable and unfavorable weather.

Description: This is a collection of essays from the Society of Actuaries Research Institute, focusing on the potential impact of AI on human longevity and its consequences for modeling future survival/mortality. It includes various essays discussing AI's role in mortality modeling, life expectancy, and implications for actuarial methods.

Description: Exhibits for Predictive Analytics Framework

Description: This report covers the latest emerging trends in U.S. population mortality. The SOA relied upon data furnished by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). Observations are based on the CDC’s recent release of 2021 mortality experience, along with prior mortality experience data from 1999 through 2020.

Description: The objective of this paper is to provide a practical guide with concrete case studies to help actuaries implement artificial intelligence and machine learning (AIML) to help accelerate the speed of analysis for life and annuity actuarial modeling. We do so by researching the existing literature regarding AIML and its applicability to stochastic modeling and exploring case studies.

Description: The global doubling of information content has been estimated to occur at a rate of every 12 hours, and conceivably faster. This ‘infowhelm’ is a double-edged sword for insurers. While maximization of the global knowledge base can fuel innovation, it can occur only in the context of reasonable cost for a higher benefit. The insurance industry – underwriters and actuaries in particular – are challenged to constantly examine new innovations that promise to raise confidence and protective value for insurability, within legal limits. This report aims to be the first of several to alert the SOA of promising innovations for the profession.

Description: This survey tracks the relative rankings of risk managers about emerging risks across time. It is the 17th survey of emerging risks sponsored by the Casualty Actuarial Society (CAS), Society of Actuaries (SOA) and Canadian Institute of Actuaries (CIA), administered by the Joint Risk Management Section.