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The Mortality Improvement Model, MIM-2021-v2

Authors

Longevity Advisory Group

Larry N. Stern, Chair, FSA, MAAA

Jean-Marc Fix, FSA, MAAA

Sam Gutterman, FSA, MAAA, CERA, FCAS, FCA, HonFIA

R. Dale Hall, FSA, MAAA, CERA, CFA

Thomas A. Jones, ASA, MAAA

Allen M. Klein, FSA, MAAA

Patrick David Nolan, FSA, MAAA

Laurence Pinzur, Ph.D.

Ronora Stryker, ASA, MAAA

Patrick Wiese, ASA

Podcast

Research Insights - The Mortality Improvement Model, MIM-2021

Table of Contents

Summary

Report, User Guides, and OpEd

Excel-based Tools

Acknowledgments

Questions or Comments

Summary

Different mortality projection methodologies are utilized by actuaries across applications and practice areas. As a result, the SOA’s Longevity Advisory Group (“Advisory Group”) developed a single framework to serve as a consistent base for practitioners in projecting mortality improvement.  The Mortality Improvement Model, MIM-2021-v2, Tools and User Guides, compose the consistent approach and are defined below.

  1. A report describing MIM-2021-v2 which summarizes the evolution of MIM-2021-v2; provides an overview of MIM-2021-v2; presents considerations for applying mortality assumptions in the model; and outlines issues the Advisory Group is currently considering for future model enhancements.
  2. An Excel-based tool, MIM-2021-v2 Application Tool, and user guide, MIM-2021-v2 Application Tool User Guide, for practitioners to construct sets of mortality improvement rates under this framework for specific applications.
  3. An Excel-based tool, MIM-2021-v2 Data Analysis Tool, and user guide, MIM-2021-v2 Data Analysis Tool User Guide, for practitioners to analyze the historical data sets included in the MIM-2021-v2 Application Tool.

The Longevity Advisory Group is planning to update the framework annually as new data and enhancements become available. MIM-2021-v2 is the first revision since the initial release in April 2021.  This version uses the same underpinning as the initial MIM-2021 release but has been refreshed to include another year of historical U.S. population mortality data as well as more user flexibility and functionality to replicate RPEC’s MP-2021 and O2-2021 scales.  

Report, User Guides, and OpEd

Developing A Consistent Framework For Mortality Improvement

MIM-2021-v2 Application Tool User Guide 

MIM-2021-v2 Data Analysis Tool User Guide 

OpEd: The Layers of Mortality Improvement – R. Dale Hall, FSA, MAAA, CERA, CFA 

Excel-based Tools

Disclaimer

The Society of Actuaries Research Institute does not warrant these tools as fit for use in any respect, and no warranty whatsoever should be assumed or implied by any individual of this product or its fitness for any particular purpose. Actuaries, insurers, regulators and other parties use this tool at their own risk. The Institute disclaims all responsibility for any party’s use or misuse of its tools and for any work product generated through use or misuse of the tools.

By accepting, I acknowledge that I have read and understand the above disclaimer language. (User needs to accept before downloading one or both tools). 

MIM-2021-v2 Application Tool AGREE (Download Tool) | DISAGREE

MIM-2021-v2 Data Analysis Tool AGREE (Download Tool) | DISAGREE

Acknowledgments

Mary Bahna-Nolan, FSA, MAAA, CERA

James Berberian, ASA, EA, MAAA, FCA

Kevin Mark Bye Jr, ASA

Timothy D. Morant, FSA, MAAA

Marianne Purushotham, FSA, MAAA

Linn K. Richardson, FSA, MAAA, CERA

Manuel S. Santos, FSA, FCIA

George Silos, FSA, MAAA, CERA

Joel C. Sklar, ASA, MAAA

Jim Toole, FSA, MAAA, CERA

At the Society of Actuaries:

Cynthia MacDonald, FSA, MAAA, Sr. Experience Studies Actuary

Jan Schuh, Sr. Research Administrator

Questions or Comments?

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If you have comments or questions, please send an email to research@soa.org.