Description: A summary of the Global Trends 2030 report, the fifth such report produced every four years by the National Intelligence Council. The report is based on the research and analysis of the 17 major intelligence agencies in the US. The summary covers the highlights of the report.

Description: An introduction to Hidden Markov Models, which are used extensively in speech and facial recognition technology. They are a useful tool in forecasting time series and in developing categorizations of data based on the values of the data themselves.

Description: A general introduction about predictive modeling in insurance applications. Some basic models are discussed, such as Generalized Linear Model(GLM), Calssification and Regression Tree Model. Other models are also briefly introduced, including data clustering, neural networks and support vector machine.

Description: Agent based modeling is a technique that can be used to predict complex interactions between individuals in an artificial environment. This article provides an introduction to Repast Py.

Description: The winner's curse, applied to Affordable Care Act plan pricing.

Description: What do data, technology, offices, skills, and cultural perspectives all have in common? Significant transformation.

Description: Even the best algorithms are only effective if they are trained on appropriate data. This article discusses common pitfalls in creating a training data set.

Description: This article describes how to model variable annuities using a GPU along with some of the stumbling blocks.

Description: Chairperson Address to the Predictive Analytics and Futurism Section