Description: This presentation outlines one company's approach to enterprise risk management and how it is used to monitor and control operational risk.

Description: Spreadsheet of sample calculations for extreme value theory. Extreme value analysis seeks to assess, from a given ordered sample of a given random variable, the probability of events that are more extreme than any observed prior.

Description: Discusses the optimal consumption strategy in the presence of default risk. It highlights the Regime-Switching model, which indicates that the market situation may change and the distribution of an asset's return will change over time.

Description: This 2005 presentation from the 40th Actuarial Research Conference is about equilibrium pricing models and valuations related to hybrid pension plans.

Description: These are the slides that go with the paper 'Mortality Modeling using Projection Pursuit Regression.' In that paper, the authors develop sixteen separate mortality models based on the current SOA mortality data being used for the preferred life study. The models are constructed using projection pursuit regression. The sixteen models arise from all combinations of sex, smoker status, select and ultimate status, and per life vs. per dollar mortality rates. In general the models confirm the following four facts: 1 Mortality rates increase as attained age increases. 2 Mortality rates increase as duration increases. 3 Mortality rates decrease as Face Amount Bands increase. 4. Mortality rates decrease if preferred underwriting is present.

Description: The prediction of adequate claims reserves is a major subject in actuarial practice and science. Due to their simplicity, the chain ladder [CL] and Bornhuetter-Ferguson [BF] methods are the most commonly used claims reserving methods in practice. This presentation develops an estimator for the conditional mean square error of prediction [MSEP] of the ultimate claim in the BF method. This will be done in the framework of generalized linear models [GLM] using the overdispersed Poisson model motivation for the use of CL factor estimates in the estimation of the claims development pattern.

Description: This presentation shows that, if the options or guarantees are exercisable only at the moment of death of the policyholder, the mathematics simplifies to an elementary calculus exercise.

Description: 1996 Valuation Actuary Symposium. In this session on sources of earnings, the panelists discusses implementation of SOE reporting, use of SOE as a management tool, why having SOE reporting is particularly useful for international operations, and SOE reporting from a reinsurance perspective.

Description: The discount rate is one of the most critical topics in IFRS 17 and may have important repercussions on product profitability. The presenters will cover practical implementation considerations, including alternative approaches to illiquidity premium calculation for business supported by fixed assets with credit risks. Other implementation considerations will also be covered, including granularity of setting the discount rate, application to new business, and implications on asset and liability modeling. The presenters will then discuss how discount rates could be utilized in an Economic Scenario Generator (ESG) to assist IFRS17 calculations, particularly for risk-neutral valuation of the time value of options and guarantees.