Description: Mortality Model Selection and Combination in RAlternative approaches for selecting mortality models and forecasting mortality have been proposed. The usual practice is to base mortality forecasts on a single mortality model selected using in-sample goodness-of-fit measures. However, cross-validation and other alternative out-of-sample measures are increasingly being used in model selection, and model combination methods are becoming a common alternative to using a single mortality model. Such methods combine predictions from multiple mortality models to reduce model choice uncertainty and improve forecast accuracy. Explore techniques to select and combine mortality models using the freely available open source R package CoMoMo (https://github.com/kessysalvatory/CoMoMo), which extends the widely used R package StMoMo (https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=StMoMo). We will use data for the USA and other countries to discuss and demonstrate four different model combination approaches including simple model averaging, Bayesian model averaging, model confidence set, and stacked regression ensembles.

Description: "Living to 100 in the time of COVID-19: A Study of Late –Life Mortality Trajectories, Leonid A. Gavrilov, Ph.D., Natalia S. Gavrilova, Ph.D., Academic Research Centers, NORC at the University of Chicago Swedish Mortality Does Not Decelerate in Recent Cohorts, or Does it? – Roland Rau, Ph. D., Professor, University of Rostock & Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany; Marcus Ebeling, Ph.D., Karin Modig, Ph.D., Associate Professor, Anders Ahlbom, Ph.D., Professor Emeritus, Karolinska Institute, Stockholm Sweden; Kai Kaufhold, Aktuar DAV, Ad Res Advanced Reinsurance Services GmbH, Cologne, Germany; Annika Ziegler, Lukas Stake, Hochschule Koblenz & Ad Res, Germany"

Description: How might retirement income strategies be designed and their suitability assessed when retirees may differ substantially in their objectives, preferences and personal circumstances? Gain a wide-ranging overview of the key elements involved in formulating retirement strategies, drawing on the report, Primer on Retirement Income Strategy Design and Evaluation, which was recently released by the Society of Actuaries (SOA) Research Institute's Aging and Retirement Strategic Research Program. Hear about three types of income objectives-income floor, income target and income optimization-and how they imply different retirement strategies along with a different set of metrics to evaluate outcomes. We will also touch on key member attributes to account for: The nature of income risk, approaches to investing and drawing down on available assets to generate income, and how stochastic modeling can support the analysis. You will find something of interest in this session, regardless of prior familiarity with strategies for retirement.

Description: "How long is long in longevity? – Jesús-Adrian Álvarez, Ph.D. - Danish Labour Market Supplementary Pension Fund (ATP), The Rate of Aging in humans is constant. New evidence – Marcus Ebeling, PhD., Research Group Mathematical and Actuarial Demography, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, Department of Sociology and Demography, University of Rostock, Rostock, Germany; Roland Rau, Ph.D., Professor, Research Group Mathematical and Actuarial Demography, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, C6 Institute of Environmental Medicine, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Håkan Malmström, Ph.D., C6 Institute of Environmental Medicine, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden; Anders Ahlbom, Ph.D., Professor Emeritus, Karen Modig, Ph.D., Associate Professor, C6 Institute of Environmental Medicine, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden Human Lifetimes: Finite But Not Necessarily Bounded – Fei Huang, PhD., School of Risk & Actuarial Studies, UNSW Sydney; Ross Maller, Ph.D., Emeritus Professor, Xu Ning, Ph.D., Research School of Finance, Actuarial Studies & Statistics, Australian National University, Brandon Milholland, Ph.D., IQVIA Plymouth Meeting, PA."

Description: "Minimum Social Security Benefit (s) and the Alone Stage of Retirement in the U.S.? – Lori J. Curtis, PhD., Douglas Andrews, FSA, FCIA, Ph.D., University of Waterloo The Importance of Cognitive Health – Gordon Woo,Ph.D., RMS LifeRisks"

Description: A changing workforce on a global scale, along with the cost and administrative burden of running retirement plans, has led to an increasing number of workers without access to company sponsored retirement plans. In addition, even when coverage exists, many national retirement and social security systems lack payout systems that provide true retirement security. Explore different retirement systems and uncover an overview of available and developing solutions to address these gaps in coverage and retirement security.

Description: Dedicated to those interested in the approaches of long-term pension assets, the How Should Long-Term Pension Assets Be Invested? A Debate webcast allows you to focus on where to devote your pension attention. Participants in this panel concentrate on perspectives and opinions on the direction of long-term pension assets. Expand your viewpoint on the investment of long-term pension assets by discovering other ideas about the industry. Determine how to handle your association with these assets and how to make the best move for the retirement business.

Description: Discuss a comparison of the U.S. general and insured population mortality experience and how COVID-19 and non-COVID-19 excess deaths impacted the populations differently. Discover the population mortality experience in the UK with a focus on the recent emergence of excess deaths for non-COVID causes. The long-term implications on the insured population will also be explored. Wrap up with a discussion of different conditions of long COVID, including organ impairments.

Description: "Driving Longevity Through Educational Attainment – Robert L. Brown – Ph. D. Higher Age U.S. Mortality By Education and Cause of Death Trends, Inequality and Controllable Risk Factors – Andrew J. G. Cairns – MPA Ph.D., Maxwell Institute for Mathematical Sciences, and Department of Actuarial Mathematics and Statistics, Heriot-Watt University, Edinburgh, Scotland, UK, Cristian Redondo Lour´es, Ph.D., Actuarial Solutions,"

Description: The Society of Actuaries (SOA) Research Institute dedicates a portion of its research to exploring issues unique to various dimensions of population diversity that involve an aspect of actuarial practice. In this session, attendees will hear presentations of two recent reports from the SOA Research Institute focused on aging and retirement issues related to diversity, equity, and inclusion. The reports include an exploration of how retirement savings are unequally distributed by race and ethnicity and the current state of research studies on LGBTQ+ issues related to aging and retirement.