Description: The Society of Actuaries Research Institute’s Catastrophe and Climate Strategic Research Program is pleased to release two essays addressing sustainability and sustainable development goals.

Description: The SOA’s Artificial Intelligence Working Group explored the role of AI in actuarial practice, focusing on risk management, regulatory compliance, and ethical considerations. The discussion highlighted the importance of the NIST AI Risk Management Framework and Generative AI Profile in ensuring responsible AI development and deployment in insurance and healthcare.

Description: This report examines the influence of climate-induced migration on U.S. state-level population shifts and property insurance market responses, including rate setting, regulation, and insurer behavior.

Description: The Society of Actuaries (SOA) Research Institute revisits COVID-19's impact on future U.S. mortality with insights from a multidisciplinary panel of experts. Discover how new variants and other causes of death may influence future mortality trends.

Description: This article series highlights the growing impact of climate change on health, property, and financial institutions, emphasizing the need for actuaries and risk analysts to evaluate and adapt their practices to manage evolving climate-related risks.

Description: This is an update of a report published originally in June 20211 comparing total U.S. population mortality to baseline expectations by age and sex. The report now includes U.S. population numbers through August 17, 2022, so the years 2020 and 2021 are now mostly complete.

Description: The Society of Actuaries Research Institute, the American Property Casualty Insurance Association and the Casualty Actuarial Society are pleased to present a report examining how the COVID-19 pandemic affected the auto insurance industry. In this report, we will examine the effects of the pandemic on auto losses using dynamic linear models. We examine which predictors best describe the trends, and the impact the pandemic has on predicted future claims.

Description: This document describes an effort to measure the deaths in the US population relative to pre-pandemic expectations. The actual deaths used are as reported by the US Center for Disease Control (CDC) and we consider several different methods for setting the expectations, adjusting for the estimated mix by age, sex, and time of the year (seasonality).

Description: The Mortality Improvement subgroup of the American Academy of Actuaries’ Work Group and the Society of Actuaries’ Mortality and Longevity Oversight Advisory Council released a recommendation for a set of improvement factors that vary by gender and attained age to be used in conjunction with the 2008 Valuation Basic table or the 2015 Valuation Basic table for AG-38 purposes. This recommendation has been adopted by the NAIC’s Life Actuarial Task Force.

Description: The Society of Actuaries’ Aging and Retirement Strategic Research Program and LIMRA’s Secure Retirement Institute are pleased to release a report summarizing a series of interviews with retirement plan recordkeepers and subject matter experts regarding industry practices in financial crimes and fraud prevention.