Description: Session 1D: Meeting the Mark - Predicting MA Stars Outcomes with Monte Carlo Simulations

Description: Session 2B: Pharmacy Risk Mitigation - Pricing, Programs, Pools, and Performance Guarantees

Description: Gather with members and non-members in the China actuarial community to discuss recent topics and related issues in areas such as macroeconomic sharing, pension, investment, product strategy, and more.

Description: Virtual - Session 4A: Data Science-Driven MA Product Design Strategies

Description: Session 4B: Impact of GLP-1 Drugs on Health Care Cost Trend and Clinical Outcomes

Description: This report gives an update on the Getzen Model of Long-Run Medical Cost Trends for 2025-2035+, providing insights on key considerations, input parameters, and projections. It includes observations on long-term medical cost trends, budgetary resistance, and regulatory impacts on healthcare expenditures.

Description: This report is presented in the form of a Tableau dashboard and is the sixth public release from this report series and contains the results of an excess mortality analysis for the fourth quarter of 2021. Data from 30 companies representing approximately 69% of the industry’s face amount inforce were included in the analyses in this report. A total of 3.2 million death claims from individual life policies from 2015 through December 31, 2021 make up the basis of the analyses. The report also compares the experience under COVID-19 of the insured population versus the general population.

Description: "Can you answer the question 'what are the chances we will lose more than $1 million next year?' without saying 'it depends'? If you miss a projection, can you quantify the chances that the miss was due to random variation vs. an incorrect projection? ten in as presenters demonstrate how to answer these questions and others using total risk analysis. Total risk analysis includes quantifying both the random variation risk and the projection risk associated with actuarial functions like pricing and reserving. After attending this session, you will be able to describe total risk analysis, apply total risk analysis to many actuarial functions."

Description: In this presentation, actuaries and data scientists from Cleveland Clinic and Milliman discuss the development of a sepsis prediction model using machine learning. Presented with a unique challenge of handling massive amounts of data for near real-time risk scoring, the team took their model development to the cloud and delivered a product in less than a week through a unique virtual engagement.