The SOA Predictive Analytics and Futurism Section has pulled together the following resources for all section members.
Analytics and the Actuary: PAF collaborated with the Marketing and Distribution Section and LIMRA on this report to understand the role of actuaries in today's marketing and distribution analytics efforts.
Applied Futurism-An introduction for Actuaries: A study note that is based on futures research methodology papers included in the United Nations University's Millennium Project Feasibility Study.
Coursera Data Science Courses: Prices vary by course.
- A Study of the Use of the Delphi Method, A Futures Research Technique For Forecasting Selected U.S. Economic Variables And Determining Rationales for Judgments (2005)
This project investigates the merits of conducting a study on economic variables utilizing the Delphi method, a futures research technique.
- Real Time Delphi Study of Four Economic Variables (2020)
Read our new and improved version of the 2005 SOA Delphi study of four economic variables: annual increase in the CPI, 10-year Treasury spot yields, S&P 500 total rate of return, and corporate Baa spot yields. The research acquaints actuaries with the application of futures methods that could supplement traditional actuarial forecasting practices.
Futurism Resource List: An extensive list of books, periodicals and articles on futurism.
Hack-a-thon: The 2019 Hack-a-Thon items are available to download here so you can try it at home. The winner has a Log Loss of 0.1177678. Can you beat the winner? Please let us know at firstname.lastname@example.org - we would enjoy to hear how you did it!
Kaggle Home Page: Home of data science competitions
Latest Development in AI for Life Insurance, Annuities, and Health: Read about our featured life insurance company, AIG, that is using AI / Predictive Analytics to improve their business.
LinkedIn: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Section public LinkedIn group.
Machine Intelligence: Home of Numenta
Octave for Data Science: Home of Octave
Overview of Forecasting Methods: Contains a helpful chart that summarizes a variety of forecasting methods.
PAF Section Community: Section member only access to past PAF Section-sponsored webcast recordings (one year or older).
Python for Data Science: Home of Anaconda
R Studio for Data Science: Home of R Studio
Tensor Flow: Home of Tensor Flow
U.N. Millennium Project: Reports provide context for global thinking and potential for better understanding how humanity could work together to improve the human condition.
World Future Society: Membership is made up of professionals with a wide diversity of backgrounds, including industry, government, academia and science.