2023 Living to 100 Compendium
The SOA Committee on Living to 100 Research Symposia is pleased to present the following 2023 Living to 100 Symposia Compendium, with papers on advanced age mortality and mortality improvement, innovation and technology for supporting the elderly, management of longevity risk, implications for society, institutions and individuals, and changes that may be needed to support a growing aging population, biology of aging and other ways the elderly population could be supported in the future.
The following papers were presented at the 2023 Living to 100 Symposia held January 16–18, 2023, in Orlando, Florida, and February 16, 2023, in Kowloon, Hong Kong.
Orlando, Florida, January 16–18, 2023
*Paper also presented at the Living to 100 Symposium in Kowloon, Hong Kong, February 16, 2023.
Impact of COVID-19 on Mortality
COVID-19 and Excess Mortality: An Actuarial Study*
By Camille Delbrouck and Jennifer Alonso-García
How Did COVID-19 Change the Dependence Structure Across Major Causes of Death?
By Han Li
Discussant Comments
By Joseph Lu
Climate Change Effects
Climate Change and Mortality: Time for Actuaries to Pay Attention!*
By Sam Gutterman
Population Aging, Global Climate Change and Social Security
By Sally Shen and John A. Turner
Discussant Comments
By Matthew Morton
Palliative Care: Understanding the Issues and How They Affect the Actuary
Palliative Care Public Education
By Marianne Matzo
Shape of Mortality at Old Ages
Living to 100 in the Time of COVID-19: A Study of Late-Life Mortality Trajectories
By Natalia S. Gavrilova and Leonid A. Gavrilov
Education Influence on Mortality
Driving Longevity through Educational Attainment – A Literature Review
By Robert L. Brown
Higher-Age US Mortality By Education and Cause of Death: Trends, Inequality and Controllable Risk Factors
By Andrew J.G. Cairns and Cristian Redondo Lourés
Discussant Comments
By Uli Stengele
Mortality Modeling and Forecasting
Compensation Effect of Mortality as a Challenge to Life Extension
By Natalia S. Gavrilova and Leonid A. Gavrilov
Weighted Compositional Data Analysis for Modeling and Forecasting Life-Table Death Counts
By Han Lin Shang and Steven Haberman
Life Expectancy Analysis
Longevity Disparity across Communities in the United States
By Lijia Guo
Establishing Methods for Annual Updates to Cohort Life Expectancies
By R. Dale Hall
Discussant Comments
By Cynthia Edwalds
Mortality Projection and Cause of Death
Forecasting Cause-Specific Mortality Rates Using the Insights from the Cointegration Analysis
By Séverine Arnold and Viktoriya Glushko
On the Decomposition of Mortality Models into Causes of Death
Andrés M. Villegas, Madhavi Bajekal and Steven Haberman
Retirement Factors and Stages
Minimum Social Security Benefit(s) and the Alone Stage of Retirement in the US
By Lori J. Curtis and Douglas Andrews
The Importance of Cognitive Health for Pandemic Survival and Future Longevity
By Gordon Woo
Discussant Comments
By Anna Rappaport
A Method for Mortality Rate Projection
A Method for Mortality Rate Projection: A Five-Step Approach
By Sam Gutterman
Migration and Other Factors
Demographic Components of Future Potential Old-Age Support Ratios
By Kirill Andreev and Mila Andreeva
Population Aging and Canada’s Social Contract: COVID-19 Catalyst for Change
By Douglas Andrews and Lori J. Curtis
Effect of Internal Migration on the Health of Taiwan’s Elderly People
By Jack C. Yue and J.C. Tang
The Aging Process
How Long is Long in Longevity?
By Jesús-Adrian Álvarez
Human Lifetimes: Finite But Not Necessarily Bounded
By Fei Huang, Ross Maller, Brandon Milholland, and XuNing
The Rate by Which Mortality Increase with Age is the same for Those Who Experienced Chronic Disease as for the General Population
By Marcus Ebeling, Roland Rau, Håkan Malmström, Anders Ahlbom, and Karin Modig
Kowloon, Hong Kong, February 16, 2023
Testing Gender Disparity in Mortality Improvement Trends in Asia-Pacific Countries: Implications on the Life Insurance Industry
Testing Gender Disparity in Mortality Improvement Trends in Asia-Pacific Countries: Implications on the Life Insurance Industry
By Johnny S.-H. Li, Kenneth Q. Zhou, Xiaobai Zhu, and Wai-Sum Chan
Estimating the Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Breast Cancer Deaths among Older Women
Estimating the Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Breast Cancer Deaths among Older Women
By Ayse Arik, Andrew Cairns, Erengul Dodd, Angus S Macdonald, George Streftaris
Long-Term Drivers of Future Mortality
Long Term Drivers of Future Mortality
By Yair Babad and Al Klein