Announcement: SOA congratulates the new ASAs and CERAs for November 2024.

2023 Living to 100 Compendium

The SOA Committee on Living to 100 Research Symposia is pleased to present the following 2023 Living to 100 Symposia Compendium, with papers on advanced age mortality and mortality improvement, innovation and technology for supporting the elderly, management of longevity risk, implications for society, institutions and individuals, and changes that may be needed to support a growing aging population, biology of aging and other ways the elderly population could be supported in the future.

The following papers were presented at the 2023 Living to 100 Symposia held January 16–18, 2023, in Orlando, Florida, and February 16, 2023, in Kowloon, Hong Kong.

Orlando, Florida, January 16–18, 2023

*Paper also presented at the Living to 100 Symposium in Kowloon, Hong Kong, February 16, 2023.

Impact of COVID-19 on Mortality

COVID-19 and Excess Mortality: An Actuarial Study*
By Camille Delbrouck and Jennifer Alonso-García

How Did COVID-19 Change the Dependence Structure Across Major Causes of Death?
By Han Li

Discussant Comments
By Joseph Lu

Climate Change Effects

Climate Change and Mortality: Time for Actuaries to Pay Attention!*
By Sam Gutterman

Population Aging, Global Climate Change and Social Security
By Sally Shen and John A. Turner

Discussant Comments
By Matthew Morton

Palliative Care: Understanding the Issues and How They Affect the Actuary

Palliative Care Public Education
By Marianne Matzo

Shape of Mortality at Old Ages

Living to 100 in the Time of COVID-19: A Study of Late-Life Mortality Trajectories
By Natalia S. Gavrilova and Leonid A. Gavrilov

Education Influence on Mortality

Driving Longevity through Educational Attainment – A Literature Review
By Robert L. Brown

Higher-Age US Mortality By Education and Cause of Death: Trends, Inequality and Controllable Risk Factors
By Andrew J.G. Cairns and Cristian Redondo Lourés

Discussant Comments
By Uli Stengele

Mortality Modeling and Forecasting

Compensation Effect of Mortality as a Challenge to Life Extension
By Natalia S. Gavrilova and Leonid A. Gavrilov

Weighted Compositional Data Analysis for Modeling and Forecasting Life-Table Death Counts
By Han Lin Shang and Steven Haberman

Life Expectancy Analysis

Longevity Disparity across Communities in the United States
By Lijia Guo

Establishing Methods for Annual Updates to Cohort Life Expectancies
By R. Dale Hall

Discussant Comments
By Cynthia Edwalds

Mortality Projection and Cause of Death

Forecasting Cause-Specific Mortality Rates Using the Insights from the Cointegration Analysis
By Séverine Arnold and Viktoriya Glushko

On the Decomposition of Mortality Models into Causes of Death
Andrés M. Villegas, Madhavi Bajekal and Steven Haberman

Retirement Factors and Stages

Minimum Social Security Benefit(s) and the Alone Stage of Retirement in the US
By Lori J. Curtis and Douglas Andrews

The Importance of Cognitive Health for Pandemic Survival and Future Longevity
By Gordon Woo

Discussant Comments
By Anna Rappaport

A Method for Mortality Rate Projection

A Method for Mortality Rate Projection: A Five-Step Approach
By Sam Gutterman

Migration and Other Factors

Demographic Components of Future Potential Old-Age Support Ratios
By Kirill Andreev and Mila Andreeva

Population Aging and Canada’s Social Contract: COVID-19 Catalyst for Change
By Douglas Andrews and Lori J. Curtis

Effect of Internal Migration on the Health of Taiwan’s Elderly People
By Jack C. Yue and J.C. Tang

The Aging Process

How Long is Long in Longevity?
By Jesús-Adrian Álvarez

Human Lifetimes: Finite But Not Necessarily Bounded
By Fei Huang, Ross Maller, Brandon Milholland, and XuNing

The Rate by Which Mortality Increase with Age is the same for Those Who Experienced Chronic Disease as for the General Population
By Marcus Ebeling, Roland Rau, Håkan Malmström, Anders Ahlbom, and Karin Modig

Kowloon, Hong Kong, February 16, 2023

Testing Gender Disparity in Mortality Improvement Trends in Asia-Pacific Countries: Implications on the Life Insurance Industry

Testing Gender Disparity in Mortality Improvement Trends in Asia-Pacific Countries: Implications on the Life Insurance Industry
By Johnny S.-H. Li, Kenneth Q. Zhou, Xiaobai Zhu, and Wai-Sum Chan

Estimating the Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Breast Cancer Deaths among Older Women

Estimating the Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Breast Cancer Deaths among Older Women
By Ayse Arik, Andrew Cairns, Erengul Dodd, Angus S Macdonald, George Streftaris

Long-Term Drivers of Future Mortality

Long Term Drivers of Future Mortality
By Yair Babad and Al Klein