2020 Living to 100 Monograph
Table of Contents by Session
January 13–15, 2020
Orlando, Fla.
The Living to 100 monograph is composed of session recordings and the papers, essays, and discussions presented at the symposium. Content will be released as it becomes available.
Podcasts
Research Insights: 2020 Living to 100 Monograph - Demographic Perspectives on the Rise of Longevity
Research Insights: 2020 Living to 100 Monograph: Benefits to Practitioner
General Session I: Featured Presentation
Epigenetic Clocks
Steve Horvath
Presenters: Jean-Marc Fix, Steve Horvath
Session 1A: Management of Longevity Risk
Quantification and Management of Longevity Risk in China
Johnny Li, Kenneth Q. Zhou, Wai-Sum Chan
A Value-Based Longevity Index for Hedging Retirement Income Portfolios
Kevin Krahe, Jonathan Ziveyi, Michael Sherris, Andrés M Villegas
Discussant Comments: Joseph Lu
Session 1B: Implications to Retirement Planning
Trends in life expectancy and lifespan variation after retirement
Jesús-Adrián Alvarez, Søren Kjærgaard, Malene Kallestrup-Lamb, James W. Vaupel
A Study into the Impact of Preprogrammed Genetic Health Risks in Retirement Planning
N. V. Subramanyan
Discussant Comments: Sam Gutterman
Session 1C: Teaching Session
Death Is Certain, Survival Isn’t
Presenters: Kai Kaufhold, Stefan Johann Ramonat
Session 2A: Living to 100 Call for Essays
The following essays from the Society of Actuaries Living to 100 Call for Essays were presented.
All essays confirmed for publication can be seen here.
Potential for Mortality Improvement from Cognitive and Psychological Factors
Essay by Gordon Woo
How Growing Inequality in the United States Makes Long-Term Care Financing Reform a Lot Harder
Essay by Karl Polzer, John Cutler
Alcohol and Mortality
Essay by Sam Gutterman
Session 2B: Retirement Strategies
An Actuarial Approach to Retirement Strategy Metrics
Mark Shemtob
Review of the Demography of Retirement in the United States
Jacob S. Siegel
Discussant Comments: Douglas W. Andrews
Session 2C: Teaching Session
Data Validation
Presenters: Kirill Andreev, Jean-Marc Fix, Natalia Gavrilova, Thomas Perls, Jean-Marie Robine
Session 3A: Aging Measurement and Mortality Modeling 1
Multipopulation Longevity Models: A Spatial Random Field Approach
Nhan Huynh, Mike Ludkovski, Howard Zail
The Application of Affine Processes in Cohort Mortality Risk Models
Zhiping Huang, Michael Sherris, Andrés M Villegas, Jonathan Ziveyi
Discussant Comments: Cynthia Thomas Edwalds
Session 3B: Mortality Improvement
Does Migration Result in Mortality Improvement: A Case Study in Taiwan
Chih-Kai Chang, Jack C. Yue, Yen-Wen Chen
Mortality Trends: An International Perspective
Adrian Gallop
Session 3C: Panel
How Will Developments in the Biology of Aging Affect Actuaries and Actuarial Practice?
Presenters: Sam Gutterman, Joseph Lu, Anna Rappaport
General Session II: Panel
Beyond Age 85: Understanding Retirement Needs, Risks and Experiences
Presenters: Sally Hass, Anna Rappaport
General Session III: Featured Presentation
Retirement Security: It’s Not Just About Money
Jacquelyn B. James
Presenters: Jean-Marc Fix, Jacquelyn B. James
Session 4A: Mortality Patterns
Demographic Perspectives on the Rise of Longevity
James W. Vaupel, Francisco Villavicencio, Marie-Pier Bergeron Boucher
Discussant Comments: Erwin J. Tan
Session 4B: Housing, Health and Social Support of the Elderly
Does Living in a Retirement Village Extend Life Expectancy? The Case of Whiteley Village
Les Mayhew, Ben Rickayzen, David Smith
Health and Social Care Analysis Regarding the State of Canadian Women Living in the Alone Stage of Retirement
Douglas Andrews, Lori Curtis
Discussant Comments: Anna Rappaport
Session 4C: Teaching Session
Mortality Modeling: Relational Models
Presenters: W. Ward Kingkade, Nadine Ouellette
Session 5A: Multipopulation Mortality Modeling
Calibrating Mortality Processes with Trend Changes to Multipopulation Data
Matthias Börger, Justin Schoenfeld, Johannes Schupp
The Mathematical Mechanism of Biological Aging
Boquan Cheng, Bruce Leonard Jones, Xiaoming Liu, Jiandong Ren
Discussant Comments: Leonid Gavrilov
Session 5B: Pensions and Longevity Risk
Fully Funded Pensions for Centenarians
Jonathan Barry Forman
How Amending Old-Age Security Would Improve the State of Canadian Women Living in the Alone Stage of Retirement
Lori J. Curtis, Douglas W. Andrews
Discussant Comments: Robert L. Brown
Session 5C: Teaching Session
Long-Term Care Modeling
Presenters: Kai Kaufhold, Benoit G. Miclette
General Session IV: Panel
Mortality Projection from a Social Security Panel
Presenters: Assia Billig, Stephen C. Goss, Adrian Gallop, Sam Gutterman
General Session V: Panel
Public Policy and Long Life: What Challenges Are Facing Policy Makers around the World, and How Are They Dealing with Them?
Presenters: John Cutler, Dale Hall, Jim Toole, John Turner
General Session VI: Featured Presentation
The Insurance Industry’s Response to the Worldwide Aging Crisis
Ronnie Klein
Presenters: Jean-Marc Fix, Ronnie Klein
Session 6A: Aging Measurement and Mortality Modeling 2
Rotation of the Age Pattern of Mortality Improvements in European Union Member States
Peter Vekas
Short- and Long-Term Dynamics of Cause-Specific Mortality Rates Using the Cointegration Analysis
Severine Arnold, Viktoriya Glushko
Discussant Comments: Kai Kaufhold
Session 6B: Disease and Longevity
Chronic Diseases and Longevity Risk: An Application to Type II Diabetes Insurance Products
Hsin-Chung Wang, Jack C. Yue, Ting-Chung Chang
Living to 100 – Understanding Multimorbidities
Sam Gutterman
Discussant Comments: Jean-Marc Fix
Session 6C: Teaching Session
Mortality Modeling and Projection Using Free Software R
Presenters: Joseph Lu, Andrés M Villegas
General Session VII: Panel
Demographic Perspectives on Longevity
Presenters: W. Ward Kingkade, Jean-Marie Robine, Jacob S. Siegel, Kirill Andreev, Peter Vekas
General Session VIII: Panel
What’s on the Horizon of Aging Research, and What Does It Mean to Actuaries?
Presenters: Jean-Marc Fix, Sofiya Milman, Jay Olshansky, Andrés M Villegas