After a sustained period of mortality improvement, U.S. population mortality improvement has stagnated in recent years. The presenters will discuss mortality improvement trends in the U.S. population and the causes of death contributing to these trends. U.S. population cause of death trends will be analyzed and compared to trends in the insured population.Mortality rates for major causes of death will be compared between the U.S. population and the insured population. In addition, assumption setting for both older age and later duration mortality as well as mortality improvement will be covered.
At the conclusion of the session, attendees will be able to:
• Understand differences in U.S. population and insured population cause of death trends and mortality rates
• Identify what causes of death are leading to the flattening of mortality improvements
• Gain initial insights into how the COVID-19 pandemic is anticipated to impact cause of death trends in 2020
• Understand why the mortality slope is steepening in later years
• Apply these learnings when setting mortality improvement assumptions