What is a vitagion? Is there such thing as catastrophic longevity? What does a 1 in 200 year mortality loss event look like? How might actuaries use mortality scenarios in their practice? Explore how to move beyond simplistic stress testing with singular percentage shocks to building a robust set of information, derived from stochastically generated scenarios for longevity and excess mortality outcomes. This data can inform assumption setting, longevity swaps, capital levels, and risk management. These concepts apply to life insurers, pension actuaries, and reinsurers.
By attending the session, you will:
- Understand what is a loss exceedance curve is and how it may be useful to quantify tail risks.
- Comprehend how to incorporate stochastic variability into longevity and excess mortality assumptions.
- Find out what elements go into a stochastic prediction of extreme mortality events using nested models.
- Learn how to add more depth to youractuarial assumptions.