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Research Emerging Topics

This page contains emerging research topics in risk management in a variety of areas. As new reports and studies on risk management become available, you’ll find them listed below. Most reports are in PDF format.

 

Climate
General Insurance
U.S. Population

Climate

  • In this category of risk management studies and reports, you’ll find research that explores how climate risk may affect the finance and insurance industries.

General Insurance

Risk management reports that are relevant to general insurance matters are available for download below.

 

U.S. Population

The Society of Actuaries (SOA) has sponsored a program of research that utilizes U.S. Population Data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) to produce studies, tools and articles that may be of interest to its members and the public. See the list below for the publications released by the SOA.

    • U.S. Population Mortality Observations – Updated with 2019 Experience
      January 2021
      This report covers the latest emerging trends in U.S. population mortality.
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    • U.S. Historical Population Mortality Rates 2000-2018
      July 2020
      The Society of Actuaries (SOA) is pleased to present historical U.S. population mortality rates by gender and single year of age for calendar years 2000-2018.
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    • U.S. Population Mortality by Race
      July 2020
      This report covers historical mortality from 1999-2018 by race as categorized by population data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s (CDC) WONDER database. Mortality for all deaths and six specific causes of death are considered over this period. Additionally, in 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic has influenced mortality as a whole and this report shows the breakdown of COVID-19 deaths by race.
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    • Projections of COVID-19 Hospitalizations and Deaths, Updated April 24, 2020
      April 2020
      Since the outbreak began in January, numerous research groups throughout the world have developed models to forecast the number of deaths that could result from COVID-19. Dr. Thomas McAndrew and Dr. Nicholas Reich of the University of Massachusetts Amherst have, on a weekly basis beginning in mid-February, surveyed experts who are separately engaged in efforts to model the outbreak. This brief looks at these models.
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    • US Population Mortality Observations - Updated with 2018 Experience
      March 2020
      This report covers the latest emerging trends in U.S. population mortality.
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    • Life Expectancy Comparison
      August 2019
      One-page comparisons of life expectancy at age 65 using various mortality tables. A separate page shows comparisons of life expectancy at age 25.
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    • U.S. Historical Population Mortality Rates 2000-2017 
      August 2019           
      The Society of Actuaries (SOA) is pleased to present historical U.S. population mortality rates by gender and single year of age for calendar years 2000-2017.

    • U.S. Population Mortality Observations - Preview of 2018 Experience 
      June 2019          
      This report provides early insights into the level of U.S. population mortality in 2018.

    • Mortality and Morbidity Data Sources 
      March 2019          
      This report provides information on other mortality and morbidity data sources to consider. Some of these data sources are rich and complex. This report provides an overview of the data sources’ characteristics and a roadmap to delving into their details.

    • Drivers of U.S. Mortality Improvement Expert Panel Forum Report 
      January 2019          
      This report summarizes a daylong Expert Panel Forum discussion, which included experts from inside and outside the insurance/retirement industry, who were invited to participate in a discussion to provide input about drivers of U.S. mortality improvement for the short and long term.

    • US Population Mortality Observations - Updated with 2017 Experience
      January 2019         
      This report covers the latest emerging trends in U.S. population mortality.

    • U.S. Motor Vehicle Accident Deaths 1999-2016
      November 2018         
      This report examines historical U.S. motor vehicle accident mortality experience by age, gender, region, and other factors.

    • U.S. Historical Population Mortality Rates 2000-2016
      September 2018          
      The Society of Actuaries (SOA) is pleased to present historical U.S. population mortality rates by gender and single year of age for calendar years 2000-2016.

    • Overview of the United States Mortality DataBase
      July 2018 
      This report documents progress on a multi-year project initially funded by the United States National Institutes of Health (through grant #R01-AG010245) with additional support from the Research Expanding Boundaries Pool of the Society of Actuaries. The goal of the project is to foster research on geographic variability in survival within the United States by providing access to standardized historical mortality series for the 4 Census Regions, 9 Census Divisions and 50 states plus the District of Columbia.

    • Population Mortality Observations - Preview of 2017 Experience
      June 2018
      This report reviews estimates of 2017 U.S. population mortality experience from the National Center for Health Statistics’ National Vital Statistics System.

    • Population Mortality Observations  - Updated with 2016 Experience
      January 2018
      This report covers the latest emerging trends in U.S. population mortality.

    • Modeling and Management of Longevity Risk
      November 2017
      The Society of Actuaries (SOA), in a joint project with the Institute and Faculty of Actuaries (IFoA) and the Canadian Institute of Actuaries (CIA), is creating research projects and education materials on Modeling and Management of Longevity Risk.

    • Components of Historical Mortality Improvement
      October 2017
      This report documents the “Components of Historical Mortality Improvement” project commissioned by the Longevity Advisory Group (LAG) of the Society of Actuaries.

    • Seasonal Influenza in the United States 2016‐2017
      September 2017
      Observations and commentary on the 2016‐2017 and recent flu seasons with relation to various mortality and morbidity measures available through the CDC.

    • US Population Mortality Rate Study - Variation by Age Group, Cause of Death and Region from 2000‐2015
      May 2017
      This report covers US regional population mortality experience during the period 2000-2015. The Society of Actuaries pursued the research as part its ongoing longevity and mortality research initiatives. The purpose of the research is to produce an overview of the differences and similarities in mortality by age group, time, cause of death and region (geographic and urban-rural) to better aid in the understanding of future expected mortality rates and the management of public programs and policy.

    • Expanding the Human Mortality Database to include Cause‐of‐Death Information
      February 2017
      The Human Mortality Database is a unique open‐access collection of detailed mortality and population data for 38 countries with complete and reliable vital registration and census data. This report overviews the development and completion of the HMD data series down to a cause of death level for an initial set of eight populations: Canada, Czech Republic, England and Wales, France, Japan, Norway, Sweden, and the United States.

    • Potentially Preventable Deaths in the U.S.
      December 2016