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A Method for Determining Confidence Intervals for Trend
A Method for Determining Confidence Intervals for Trend This paper presents a method involving re-sampling 'with replacement but without random numbers', numerical convolutions for ...- Authors: William A Bailey
- Date: Oct 1992
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
- Topics: Health & Disability>Health insurance; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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An Econometric Forecasting for the Social Security Trust Funds
An Econometric Forecasting for the Social Security Trust Funds The financing for Social Security is a pay-as-you-go system, rather than the full-reserve system utilized in private insurance, and ...- Authors: H Shawn Lin
- Date: Jan 1999
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Actuarial Research Clearing House
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Claims Reserving when there are Negative Values in the Development Triangle
Claims Reserving when there are Negative Values in the Development Triangle In this paper the author presents an application of Bayesian forecasting methods to the estimation of reserves for ...- Authors: Enrique de Alba
- Date: Jan 2003
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Actuarial Research Clearing House
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Parametric Models for Life Tables
Parametric Models for Life Tables This paper presents a general law of mortality that is equal to a mixture of Gompertz, Weibull, Inverse-Gompertz, and Inverse-Weibull survival functions.- Authors: Jacques F Carriere
- Date: Oct 1992
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
- Topics: Demography>Mortality - Demography; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Projections - How to Make Them and How to Use Them
Projections - How to Make Them and How to Use Them This paper presents the fundamentals of creating and using projections. From Transactions of Society of Actuaries 1950, Vol. 2, No. 4. Pension ...- Authors: Robert F Link, Robert J Myers, A M Niessen, Dorrance C. Bronson, W Rulon Williamson, Herbert J. Stark
- Date: Nov 1950
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Pensions & Retirement
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Cox, Ingersoll and Ross Models of Interest Rates
Cox, Ingersoll and Ross Models of Interest Rates Presented at May 2002 Spring Meeting. Our lecturer presents findings from a research project relating to the Cox, Ingersoll & Ross model ...- Authors: Peter Tilley, Wojciech Szatzschneider
- Date: May 2002
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Record of the Society of Actuaries
- Topics: Finance & Investments>Investments; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Session 091: Medicaid Margin Assumptions - Opening the Black Box
Session 091: Medicaid Margin Assumptions - Opening the Black Box In Medicaid rate development, actuaries have not historically shared models that developed the margin (i.e., underwriting gain) ...- Authors: Sabrina Gibson, Michelle L Raleigh, James Randolph Piekut, Jaredd Martin Keith Simons
- Date: May 2019
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Topics: Health & Disability>Health insurance; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Claim forecasting using econometric stepwise regression
Claim forecasting using econometric stepwise regression This abstract describes a paper that discusses insurance claim forecasting using econometric stepwise regression to analyze historical ...- Authors: Andrew Loach, Eric L Vaagen
- Date: Jul 2010
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Coherent Mortality Modeling for a Group of Populations
Coherent Mortality Modeling for a Group of Populations Presented at Living to 100 Symposium, January 2011. This research studies coherent mortality modeling by combining a group of populations ...- Authors: Ching-Syang Jack Yue, Yu-Yun Yeh, Sharon Yang
- Date: Jan 2011
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Topics: Demography>Longevity; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Introduction to Forecasting Methods for Actuaries
Introduction to Forecasting Methods for Actuaries This article provides a brief introduction to forecasting methods that are potentially relevant to actuarial work. 9329 9/1/2009 12:00:00 AM ...- Authors: Alan Mills
- Date: Sep 2009
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting