Description: There is increasing industry interest in applying behavioral science to optimize product design decisions and improve outcomes for both insurers and their customers. With a growing set of options within product designs, predicting consumer behavior continues to get increasingly complex. Join this webcast for an overview of key behavioral economic concepts. Key insights will be shared from two SOA projects that explore how behavioral economic techniques can be used in various parts of the life insurance new business process and inforce management.

Description: The COVID-19 pandemic has been an acute reminder of the material impacts that pandemics can have on Life (re)insurance and society at large. Learn to describe the journey of a Life reinsurance practitioner to model and operationalize pandemic and infectious disease risk, why this is of importance to actuaries, and their risk management. It will consider how such models have been used, developments over time, and challenges in using and calibrating these models. The session will also provide perspectives from a pandemic model provider who will describe the fundamental metrics for pandemic loss distributions and how learnings from the COVID-19 pandemic can be used to quantify the potential impact of the next pandemic. Finally, dive into an outline of how biological principles can be applied to anticipating plausible pathogens causing the next pandemic.

Description: Health care has changed rapidly over the past couple of years. The pandemic has shifted consumer behavior in how and where they receive health care as well as consumer attitudes toward health care. Payers continue to design innovative solutions in responses to their patient’s needs and expectations. These changes in consumer behaviors and the responses by payers are expected to impact both health care cost and utilization. Discuss changes in health care that have emerged due to the pandemic and how they are expected to influence actuarial assumptions. Explore epidemiological models commonly used in the industry, the considerations when using these models, as well as the challenges with regards to gathering and interpreting relevant experience data. By attending this session, you will be able to: Identify shifts in consumer behavior that have emerged from the pandemic and describe how payers are responding to new patient expectations. Discuss how these post-pandemic changes by consumers and payers influence medical spending. Determine which actuarial assumptions are impacted and how and if the impact is expected to be temporary or permanent. Discuss considerations taken by actuaries and challenges faced when modelling actuarial assumptions post pandemic.

Description: What is a vitagion? Is there such thing as catastrophic longevity? What does a 1 in 200 year mortality loss event look like? How might actuaries use mortality scenarios in their practice? Explore how to move beyond simplistic stress testing with singular percentage shocks to building a robust set of information, derived from stochastically generated scenarios for longevity and excess mortality outcomes. This data can inform assumption setting, longevity swaps, capital levels, and risk management. These concepts apply to life insurers, pension actuaries, and reinsurers. By attending the session, you will: - Understand what is a loss exceedance curve is and how it may be useful to quantify tail risks. - Comprehend how to incorporate stochastic variability into longevity and excess mortality assumptions. - Find out what elements go into a stochastic prediction of extreme mortality events using nested models. - Learn how to add more depth to youractuarial assumptions.

Description: As effective dates for major changes in insurance accounting are rapidly approaching, insurers find themselves at various stages of their implementation programs. Driven by the need for compliance and desire for operational excellence, companies are transforming by reimagining their processes, leveraging technology enablers, redefining roles and responsibilities, and enhancing risk management, governance, and controls. Companies that proactively include risk and control elements in their accounting change implementation programs benefit from improved outcomes, enhanced investment returns, early identification, and mitigating of risk. Focus on risk and controls considerations around accounting change programs and how strategic partnerships with internal audit and ERM groups can benefit these significant transformation programs. By attending the session, you will: Be able to articulate key considerations around risk and controls for accounting change implementation programs.

Description: Recent and potential near future extreme experiences are leading us to a new normal rather than back to the prior environment. Learn more about several examples of past Regime Changes along with a detailed discussion of how recent disruptions lead toward a persistent change in the business, social and political environment. Come develop an understanding of these drivers of change as well as the likely impacts on the Financial Services industry.

Description: Driver-based forecasting is a powerful tool to predict and estimate future outcomes. In recent years, driver-based forecasting has gained significant attention as a technique for actuaries to forecast the financial performance of insurance companies. Often there can be frustration around the ability to use forecasts to manage the business. However the objective of a driver-based forecast is to break down historic and projected movement based on the key drivers which impact the results. The key is to understand what the key drivers are on forecasts and what is the relative level of impact and influence we have on the drivers. Listen in on a discussion on the core principles of driver-based forecasting, including how to identify key drivers, collect accurate data, and leverage the latest technology to generate forecasts that traditional models can't match. Explore with us the various driver-based models and how actuaries can leverage them to enhance their decision-making capabilities. Then join the conversation about the challenges actuaries face when implementing this technique and how to mitigate these problems.

Description: As data continues to become more robust and readily available, there has been a push in the actuarial field to transition away from Excel to SQL and Python native cloud-based platforms. While these platforms are widely used and powerful, they present challenges for the actuarial industry: Requiring processes to be production-ready from the onset, technical expertise for integration and robust documentation. Low-code tools provide a unique alternative solution, which works when the organization's operating model allows for actuarial and IT to work together, giving actuaries the flexibility they need while maintaining a level of control followed by the organization In this session, you will watch demonstrations that showcase low-code tools and their use case in the actuarial space. See how these low-barrier-to-entry tools can be leveraged to create robust processes. We will discuss solutions such as Alteryx and Dataiku and how low-code tools can integrate with coding languages such as Python to create more robust processes.

Description: Pandemic modeling and its impact on the insurance and reinsurance business have been the subject of scrutiny during the COVID-19 pandemic. As the World Health Organization (WHO) has declared its end as a global health emergency, the focus of insurers and reinsurers turns to the possibility of future pandemics. Key to considering possible future pandemics is assessing what is needed to model pandemic risks. Our presentation will focus on providing you with the following: - The main principles around creating a well-established pandemic risk modeling framework, what they are and how you should build them into your model (As a reinsurer, this is core to our business, and we have unique global insights into performing it.) - A review of pandemic risk modeling strategies as well as an understanding of the inherent uncertainties of pandemic events - Lessons learned from COVID-19 and how we can apply them in assessing the possibility of future pandemics - An understanding of the link between future pandemic risk and the capital requirements

Description: This article about the science of characterizing and analyzing problems known as 'heuristics'. A particular heuristic useful in solving probability problems is presented.