Description: An introductory article for the June 2023 issue of the General Insurance Insights e-newsletter.

Description: In this panel discussion, actuarial leaders in the stop-loss marketplace provide their perspectives on recent stop-loss trends. Learn about the most current issues facing self-funded plans and their stop-loss coverage. Take part in a deeper discussion on this topic and more at Oysters, Beers & Large Claim Solutions on Tuesday, June 27, from 4:30-5:30 p.m. PT. This happy hour, featuring drinks and tasty Pacific Northwest oysters will include a discussion on the large claims impacts on the health care market.

Description: The personal auto insurance industry is constantly changing. There are small and steady changes over time (e.g., inflation affecting the cost of repairs or general progress in the safety of vehicles) and sharp spikes (e.g., disasters and legislation). That change has never been more apparent with the Covid-19 pandemic, civil unrest, and driverless cars all presently having a significant impact on personal auto insurance.

Description: The June 2021 Supreme Court ruling in California vs. Texas has significant ramifications on Affordable Care Act markets. This session will provide the actuarial community an overview of the ruling, the likely impact on health insurance markets, and potential legislation to address the ruling details.

Description: Reserving and ratemaking calculations are vital to how insurance companies perform financially. Current-day practices for predicting future loss ratio or pure premiums for reserving and ratemaking rates are not based on low prediction errors—mean squared error (MSE) criterion. This report provides mathematically optimal weights that lead to minimum MSE prediction errors, and the formulas are validated using retro-testing with real-world datasets. In this report, two main theorems are discussed, each addressing prediction of future loss ratio or pure premium and improving upon current practices for how rates and reserves are calculated.

Description: The COVID-19 pandemic and its economic effects have resulted in significant insurance impacts. The General Insurance Research Committee (GIRC) of the SOA put forth a call for essays exploring the potential effects on commercial liability insurance. The committee selected this essay, “Evolving Trends in Commercial Liability Insurance,” submitted by Karl Canty and Varun Balutia of EXL, and awarded them a prize of $1,000. The GIRC congratulates the authors and is happy to publish the winning essay on The Actuary website

Description: This report predicts farm-level crop yield distributions in the absence of farm-level yield data.

Description: Editorial for the November 2016 issue of Reinsurance News.

Description: This paper proves that rates and premiums are not needed as input in the rating process.