Description: This paper introduces the predictive modeling tools to mortality research. The predictive modeling is applied to study how multiple risk drivers such as demographic characteristics and social and economic status impact the mortality improvement of the advanced age population. The paper provides both the theoretical frameworks and the application aspects of the predictive modeling process. As the result, a mortality risk score was derived in differentiating the mortality risk for the advanced age population.

Description: In this paper, we investigate the dynamics of the Lee-Carter mortality index parameter kt. Specifically, we perform statistical hypothesis tests to examine whether the mortality indexes for Canada, England and Wales and the United States are best described by stochastic trends difference stationary models or deterministic trends trend stationary models. The empirical results favor broken-trend stationary models over difference stationary models, which are used in most previous applications of the Lee-Carter method. The results also give strong statistical evidence that the rates of mortality decline for the three populations have significantly accelerated in mid-1970s.

Description: Adjusting the 1985 NAIC Cancer Claim Cost Tables, a collection of morbidity tables, for Inflation and benefit changes Issue No. 34.

Description: View the complete issue for the August 2014 Reinsurance News newsletter.

Description: Report covering the intercompany experience under standard Ordinary insurance issues between 1950 and 1951 anniversaries.

Description: This paper presents a disability continuance table based on industry individual policy experience to render it suitable as a standard for expected claims and for adjusted earnings purposes. Also includes discussion of the paper by John B. Cummings, Timothy A. Hinchliff, John H.Miller, R.Terry Nelson, John S.Thompson Jr., Eduard H.Minor

Description: Transcript of the Q&A period from Session 4B. Papers presented: Typology and Review of Measures of Human Aging, Longevity and Superlongevity with Applications to US Data and Some Implications for US Public Programs and, Mortality Measurements at Advanced Ages: A Study of the Social Security Master Death File

Description: Transcript of the Q&A period from Session 6B: Health Status and its Impact on Mortality

Description: This paper presents recent trends in obesity prevalence in significant population segments, including overall effects by age, gender and certain racial and ethnic groups, and discusses the ways in which obesity can influence mortality in each of these segments. It provides a synthesis of reported mortality experience relating to these behaviors by risk factors and diseases that will affect any mortality projection.

Description: a review of a paper by R. H. Daw, F.I.A. entitled “Smallpox and the Double Decrement Table: a piece of actuarial prehistory.”