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When Affordability Savings Do Not Reduce Costs
When Affordability Savings Do Not Reduce Costs Regression to the mean is a phenomenon that arises when comparing sequential data points. It states that when an initial observation is extreme or ...- Authors: Tony Pistilli
- Date: Dec 2020
- Competency: Results-Oriented Solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Health Watch
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Regression analysis; Predictive Analytics>Modeling techniques; Predictive Analytics>Quality control & model governance
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Forecasting Judgment: The Netflix Prize and Collaborative Filtering
Forecasting Judgment: The Netflix Prize and Collaborative Filtering Can the aggregate results from a group be used to forecast something as subjective and judgmental as one single person’s ...- Authors: Michael Lindstrom
- Date: Jul 2010
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Best Methods and Practices in Judgmental Forecasting
Best Methods and Practices in Judgmental Forecasting Given the ubiquity of judgmental forecasting, it is important to understand the potential biases inherent in human judgment—the traps that can ...- Authors: Alan Mills
- Date: Jul 2010
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Delphi Study 2000 - Predictions for 2010 and 2050
Delphi Study 2000 - Predictions for 2010 and 2050 Futurism section members participated in this Delphi study, which had multiple choice questions on a range of life, health, economic and ...- Authors: Ben Wolzenski
- Date: Jul 2013
- Competency: Results-Oriented Solutions>Assess decision effectiveness
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Value Based and Accountable Care: The Actuarial and Clinical Role in Building a Sustainable Model
Value Based and Accountable Care: The Actuarial and Clinical Role in Building a Sustainable Model As providers are considering accountable and value based care models, it is critical to ...- Authors: Mark Bethke, James M Whisler, Amanda Holland
- Date: May 2013
- Competency: Leadership>Change management; Strategic Insight and Integration>Big picture view; Strategic Insight and Integration>Strategy development; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions
- Publication Name: Health Watch
- Topics: Health & Disability>Payment models; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Sensitivity testing; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Value at risk - Modeling & Statistical Methods; Public Policy
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Forecasting & Futurism Section to Aid in Upcoming Delphi Study
Forecasting & Futurism Section to Aid in Upcoming Delphi Study The article describes what a Delphi study entails; describes past Delphi studies conducted by the SOA; and summarizes ...- Authors: Ben Wolzenski
- Date: Jul 2014
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions
- Publication Name: In The Public Interest
- Topics: Long-term Care>Long-term care insurance; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Mortality improvement: an actuarial perspective
Mortality improvement: an actuarial perspective This abstract describes a paper that studies the relation between the two basic random events associated with human mortality: birth and death.- Authors: José Garrido, Ana Debón
- Date: Jul 2010
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Topics: Demography>Mortality - Demography; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Comments on Trending Methods in Automobile Insurance Ratemaking
Comments on Trending Methods in Automobile Insurance Ratemaking Discusses some methodological questions which arose in connection with ratemaking for the province of New Brunswick, Canada.- Authors: Application Administrator
- Date: Jan 1983
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
- Publication Name: Actuarial Research Clearing House
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Forecasting Tools For The Working Actuary
Forecasting Tools For The Working Actuary This session is from the 1976 Washington D.C. Meeting and discusses qualitative and quantitative models for forecasting. The session is a general ...- Authors: James C Hickman
- Date: Apr 1976
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Record of the Society of Actuaries
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Regression analysis
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Five Myths and Facts about Artificial Intelligence
Five Myths and Facts about Artificial Intelligence A discussion on the myths of artificial intelligence. computer science;futurism 6442473939 12/1/2016 12:00:00 AM ...- Authors: Anand Rao
- Date: Dec 2016
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting