Description: This panel discussion is from the 1991 Meeting of the Society of Actuaries, held May 16-17 in New York. The panelists discuss emerging trends in the financial condition of the life insurance industry, how the financial condition of a company is determined by the rating agencies, and the value and reliability of ratings with respect to a company’s current and future financial condition. The potential role of actuaries, the value of the statutory financial statements, the users of the ratings, and how they affect the rated companies are discussed. Discussion from participants is included. From the Record of Society of Actuaries, Volume 17, No. 2.

Description: This survey of emerging risks attempts to track the risk manager population‘s thoughts about emerging risks across time. The top 4 emerging risks from this third iteration of the survey are: 1. US current account deficit/fall in US dollar. 2. Blow up in asset prices/excessive indebtedness. 3. Oil price shock/energy supply interruptions. 4. Chinese economic hard landing.

Description: 1993 SOA Annual Meeting, New York. Insurance regulators commissioned a task force to develop cash-flow variability measurement standards. This session presented the recommendations of that task force and the relationship to cash-flow testing. Topics included: 1. The regulatory need and how the process was approached. 2. The types of CMO variability that the standards attempt to address. 3. A description of the scenario selection process that's used in this model. 4. The prepayment assumptions and the method to be used to collect prepayment data. 5. The relationship to cash-flow testing. 6. The regulators' reactions.

Description: The objectives of this paper are to determine the extent to which Makeham's or Gompertz's laws describe recent insurance and population mortality analyze how the constants in the two laws vary with respect to some factors and propose a simple extension to Makeham's law to account for recent departures from the laws, related to difference in sex. Presented at Actuarial Research Conference at Ball State University, September 1, 1978

Description: The author summarizes the content of a seminar entitled “Integrated Approaches to Risk Management in the Financial Services Industry,” including a description of the papers presented.

Description: The article discusses C1 risks in five areas: 1 the economics of risk, 2 portfolio optimization, 3 policy, 4 risk interaction and 5 institutional aspects of C1 risk.

Description: This paper develops a method for estimating the future claim costs of known ongoing large medical claims. It applies Least Squares analysis of historical experience to derive two arrays of factors. One array is to be applied as a vector inner product with claim costs already incurred and/or paid to project a total future claim cost. The second array distributes the total future claim cost over the months following the analysis date.

Description: In this paper we discuss some properties of the nth stop-loss order and their application in risk premium principles. We give a necessary condition and a sufficient condition for nth stop-loss orders. They are convenient tools to construct risk pairs with nth stop-loss orders. We show that exponential premium principles can diferentiate between losses more finely than the net premium principles under some conditions.

Description: 2001 SOA Spring Meeting, Toronto. A wide range of tools exists in both the insurance and banking industries to measure and mitigate exposure to risk. For some risks, given their nature and volatility, real-time measurement and monitoring has become a necessity. This session focused on the risk management tools and techniques that measure and mitigate exposure associated with products that have embedded options.

Description: Investment Fallacies: The Myth of Time Diversification