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Estimating Long-Term Returns in Stochastic Interest Rate Models
all increasing family of sub-sigma-algebras of S. At some future time T, T > 0 , the long-term return ... Proof First we define S(t, r) and u(t,r) as [ s(t , r) = r(~)d~ u(t, r) = E r IS] According ...- Authors: Lijia Guo, Zenghui Huang
- Date: Jan 1997
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Actuarial Research Clearing House
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Stochastic models
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Generating Stochastic Interest Rate Scenarios
DAVIDN. BECKER GORDON E. KLEIN CRAIG B. MERRILL* MARK S. TENNEY# Recorder: MICHAEL F. DAVL1N What are the ... 00%. We won't need the last period's interest rate(s). Consider a one-year Treasury strip. To value it ...- Authors: David N Becker, Michael F Davlin, Gordon E Klein, Mark S Tenney, Craig Merrill
- Date: Oct 1995
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Record of the Society of Actuaries
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Stochastic models
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Measuring Uncertainty in Loss Reserves
ROGERM. HAYNE Panelists: SPENCERM. GLUCK THOMAS S. WRIGHT* Recorder: ROGERM. HAYNE This panel will ... that, I think I'll tum it over to Tom. MR. THOMAS S. WRIGHT: I'm going to talk about two stochastic methods ...- Authors: Spencer M Gluck, Roger M Hayne, Thomas S Wright
- Date: Apr 1994
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Record of the Society of Actuaries
- Topics: Health & Disability>Health insurance; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Regression analysis; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Stochastic models
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Real-world interest rate models in a low interest rate environment
implications for interest- sensitive life insurance and annuity products. For instance: • Sustained low interest ... policies issued between 2003 and 2015. The following table sum- marizes the interest rate guarantees by issue ...- Authors: Marshall Lin, Jean-Philippe Larochelle, Francisco Orduna
- Date: Dec 2015
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
- Publication Name: The Modeling Platform
- Topics: Economics>Financial economics; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Scenario generation; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Stochastic models
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Actuarial Sciences and Uncertainties
actuaries have applied stochastic models to mortality and other processes in order to get a measure ... in June 1989. Dear Edith: Medicine in the Year 2000 I found Harry M. Oliver, Jt’s, article in the ...- Authors: Francisco Bayo
- Date: May 1988
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: The Actuary Magazine
- Topics: Actuarial Profession; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Stochastic models
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Economic Scenario Generators, Part I: Motivation for Stochastic Modeling
Generator (AIRG), the most commonly used ESG by U.S.-based actuaries. See Figure 1 for an overview of ... assigning a market-consistent value to a variable annuity (VA) product with a guaranteed minimum accumulation ...- Authors: Dean Kerr, Matthew Zhang, Rahat Jain
- Date: Nov 2019
- Competency: Results-Oriented Solutions; Strategic Insight and Integration; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: The Modeling Platform
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Scenario generation; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Stochastic models
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A Handful of Economic Capital Model Observations
and use of economic capital (EC) mod-els in the U.S. have certainly moved forward since the models were ... assumption. For instance, a “1 in 200 year” mortality assumption could lead the actuary to an influenza ...- Authors: David M Walczak
- Date: Nov 2019
- Competency: Results-Oriented Solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Risk Management
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Conditional Tail Expectation; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Modeling efficiency; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Stochastic models
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Real-World Interest Rate Models and Current Practices
Orduña, Marshall Lin and Jean-Philippe Larochelle A s actuaries we often find ourselves focusing on the ... substantially in the last decade as life and annuity products have become more complex. The need for ...- Authors: Jean-Philippe Larochelle, Marshall Lin, Francisco Orduna
- Date: Jul 2015
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
- Topics: Economics>Financial economics; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Scenario generation; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Stochastic models
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A Computation Method for Discounting Stochastic Scenarios Under IFRS 17
path-dependent discounting for scenarios. IFRS 17's requirement to discount best-estimate cashflows using ... a technique for calibrating each of the scenario's cashflows so that they can be discounted with other ...- Date: Sep 2019
- Competency: Results-Oriented Solutions
- Publication Name: The Financial Reporter
- Topics: Financial Reporting & Accounting; Financial Reporting & Accounting>International Financial Reporting Standards [IFRS]; Modeling & Statistical Methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Stochastic models
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Modeling of Economic Series Coordinated with Interest Rate Scenarios: A progress report on research sponsored by the Casualty Actuarial Society and the Society of Actuaries
Modeling of Economic Series Coordinated with Interest Rate Scenarios: A progress report on ... provide a foundation for the actuarial community’s modeling of a variety of economic variables, including ...- Authors: Stephen P D'Arcy, Richard Gorvett, Kevin Ahlgrim
- Date: Jan 2004
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Topics: Economics; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Stochastic models